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November 22, 2019

Cybersecurity
Cyber Week in Review: November 22, 2019

The United States extends deadline for companies affected by Huawei ban; Bipartisan coalition of U.S. senators asks White House to appoint 5G coordinator; Russia-led UN resolution on cybercrime passe…

People attend a protest organised by National Council of Resistance of Iran in Germany to support nationwide demonstrations in Iran against the rise in gasoline prices, in Berlin, Germany November 17, 2019.

November 20, 2019

Sri Lanka
The Geopolitical Consequences of the Sri Lankan Election

Sri Lankans went to the polls November 16 to elect a president, and former Secretary of Defense Gotabaya Rajapaksa was declared the winner on November 17. Sri Lanka faces significant national securit…

A soldier stands guard at a campaign rally for Gotabaya Rajapaksa, at podium, in Bandaragama earlier this month.

October 10, 2019

Kurds
The Time of the Kurds

The Kurds, one of the world’s largest peoples without a state, may be on the verge of achieving their independence amid turbulence in Syria and Iraq.

The Time of the Kurds

November 6, 2019

Election 2020
The President’s Inbox: Should the United States Do Less Overseas?

The latest episode of The President’s Inbox is now live. The Iowa caucuses, the formal start of the presidential nominating process, are just three months away. Given that elections matter for U.S. f…

An American flag flies on the edge of the Atlantic ocean.

November 10, 2019

United States
Happy 244th Birthday to the United States Marine Corps!

The U.S. Marine Corps turns 244 years-old today. On November 10, 1775, the Continental Congress adopted a resolution to create a Marine force composed of two battalions. Since then, the Marines have …

U.S. Marine Corps

November 13, 2019

United States
A Big Borrower and a Giant Corporate Tax Dodge? How Best to Describe the U.S. External Balance Sheet

Most grandiose explanations for the United States' persistent surplus in the income balance of the U.S. current account miss the mark. The U.S. debt position tracks the sum of past current account de…

A Big Borrower and a Giant Corporate Tax Dodge? How Best to Describe the U.S. External Balance Sheet

October 31, 2019

United States
The National Debt Dilemma

With the U.S. national debt already exceeding $16 trillion, President Trump’s tax reform and budget deals with Congress have added to the country’s deficits. CFR explores the origins of the national debt, the risks it presents, and the outlook for change.

US-Debt-BGR-Header-2-1160x630.jpg

September 10, 2019

Cybersecurity
Hey LinkedIn, Sean Brown Does Not Work at CFR: Identity, Fake Accounts, and Foreign Intelligence

A fake LinkedIn account of a Sean Brown claiming to work for CFR highlights the issues with fake accounts.

Hey LinkedIn, Sean Brown Does Not Work at CFR: Identity, Fake Accounts, and Foreign Intelligence

January 17, 2018

China
A Few Words on China’s Holdings of U.S. Bonds

A primer on China reserve watching.

A Few Words on China’s Holdings of U.S. Bonds

October 18, 2006

Monetary Policy
The impact of central bank demand on US bond yields.

In late 2004 and early 2005, Nouriel and I estimated that the actions of foreign central banks might be holding US yields down by as much as 200 bp. That estimate found its way into Pam Woodall’s Eco…