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April 4, 2003

Iraq
Council President Gelb Says Battlefield Victory [in Iraq] Will Be Soon, but the War Will Go on for Months to Come

Leslie H. Gelb, President of the Council on Foreign Relations, answered readers’ questions on the future of U.S. foreign policy. The New York Times online chat was hosted by Bernard Gwertzman,…

March 9, 2005

United States
HBO History Makers Series: Paul O'Neill

Council on Foreign Relations New York, N.Y. [Note: the transcript begins in progress] PAUL O'NEILL: --Citizens in an enlightened society need to understand that they've not only got to provide…

November 18, 2004

Taking away the punch bowl when the party is really getting going?

That is the classic view of the role of the central bank. It extends beyond using monetary policy to prevent "overheating" and price inflation. Most central bank regulate the banking system, and si…

July 18, 2005

China
If your reserves are growing by $300 billion a year

China indicated its reserves have increased to $711 billion at the end of June -- up $101 billion from the end of December 2004. Actually, they are up more than that. China transferred $15 billion …

April 15, 2005

United States
First the President tells China that it is holding a bunch of worthless IOUs …

And now he tells China it really should revalue, in far stronger language than the US (or the G-7) has used before.It seems like Tim Adams, the incoming Treasury Under Secretary for International Aff…

September 4, 2005

China
If it is still a dollar peg, where is the monetary policy flexiblity?

I rarely agree with Steven "trade deficits do not matter" Jen.   His models for G3 exchange rate determination leave out a variable - the pace at which the US is adding to its external debt and its r…

September 18, 2005

United States
Synthetic CDOs, China and Systemic Risk

I suspect the stock of outstanding synthetic credit derivatives -- $ 1500 b in synthetic CDOs in 2004 v. $300 b or so in 2001, according to Mark Whitehouse of the Wall Street Journal -- is the only t…

February 16, 2005

Economics
Systemic risk

John Plender of the Financial Times has a nice (subscription only) survey of the risk that "systemic risk" (think LTCM/ 1998) may make an unwelcome comeback. Plender’s analysis clearly draws on New …

March 7, 2006

Russia
U.S. Policy Toward Russia

12:15–1:00 p.m. Lunch1:00–2:00 p.m. MeetingThis meeting is based on a new Council on Foreign Relations Independent Task Force Report.

April 4, 2006

Defense and Security
A Conversation with Anthony Zinni

5:30 p.m. - 6:00 p.m. Reception6:00 p.m. - 7:00 p.m. Meeting