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December 4, 2013

Israel
A Conversation About Israel

Israeli columnist Ari Shavit just came out with a new book, My Promised Land, that is receiving tremendous media attention in the United States. I joined Ari and David Remnick, editor of The New York…

April 7, 2015

Politics and Government
Campaign 2016: Senator Rand Paul, GOP Presidential Candidate

Is America ready for a "Libertarian-ish" president? We are about to find out. Today Senator Rand Paul (R-KY) formally announced his presidential campaign, making him the second Republican candidate, …

Rand Paul Announcement

March 4, 2011

Elections and Voting
Campaign 2012: Hello Newt Gingrich, GOP Presidential Candidate?

Newt Gingrich addresses the 38th annual Conservative Political Action Conference in Washington. (Larry Downing/courtesy Reuters) Someone had to go first. So Newt Gingrich did. While the other major …

Newt Gingrich addresses the 38th annual CPAC meeting in Washington

June 5, 2013

Defense and Security
Hello, Susan Rice: National Security Adviser

When one door closes another one opens. Susan Rice can certainly vouch for that pithy piece of advice. Early last fall the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations looked to be a shoe-in to succeed Hill…

U.S. ambassador to the UN Susan Rice speaks in the Rose Garden after Obama's announcement that Rice will be his next national security adviser (Joshua Roberts/Courtesy Reuters).

March 31, 2011

Politics and Government
Is Operation Odyssey Dawn Constitutional? Part III

  Yesterday I noted that many legal scholars believe that while the text of the Constitution may not have given presidents an independent war-making authority, they have acquired that through two …

Part III

May 1, 2005

China
Will China get hit by the cover jinx?

It is a bit hard to start shorting the renminbi (RMB/ the Chinese currency) just because China has now made its appearance on the cover of Newsweek. It is hard to short something that has yet to be …

August 5, 2005

Capital Flows
China, the US and the geopolitics of oil

The CNOOC Unocal saga is over. But CNOOC's ambitions remain: Energy market experts now expect Cnooc, which is controlled by the Beijing government, to explore opportunities throughout the Asia-Pa…

June 11, 2007

Monetary Policy
“Asia’s importance in the bond market cannot be overstated”

That quote doesn't come from me -- but from someone with a bit more authority: Jim Caron, co-head of global interest rate strategy at Morgan Stanley (quoted by Michael MacKenzie in Monday's F…

central_bank_demand_quarters

November 5, 2010

Energy and Climate Policy
Cap-and-Trade Didn’t Kill the Dems

There’s been a lot of back and forth about whether cap-and-trade hurt the Democrats this past Tuesday. It’s mostly spin, with people focusing on whatever results they think bolster their case. But th…

February 22, 2006

Capital Flows
The (strange) politics of globalization

Maybe the US would be better off if China owned Unocal's Asian oil fields Not economically.  Unocal's oil and gas fields are presumably worth a bit more now than they were last summer.  But s…