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March 1, 2021

Southeast Asia
As in Myanmar, Coups are Becoming More Successful, and More Sophisticated

Early this month, Myanmar’s armed forces took control of the country. Moving overnight, they detained most leading politicians and many civil-society activists, barricaded roads, cut off internet acc…

Protesters take shelter behind shields as they clash with riot police officers during a protest against the military coup in Yangon, Myanmar, on March 1, 2021.

October 23, 2020

Turkey
The Changing Nature of Turkey’s Balance Sheet Risks

Pay attention to banking system's foreign currency exposure to the government ...

The Changing Nature of Turkey’s Balance Sheet Risks

February 8, 2021

Economics
Farewell

I am stepping down from my position at the Council of Foreign Relations to take a new job. That, among other things, means that I will not be blogging here for the foreseeable future. I am enormou…

October 12, 2020

Syria
Despite Ceasefire Agreement, Turkey Implicated In More Than Eight Hundred Violations

Amy Austin Holmes is a Council on Foreign Relations International Affairs Fellow at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. One year ago, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan prom…

Smoke rises above the Syrian border town of Tel Abyad, as seen from Turkey, on October 13, 2019.

January 21, 2021

Syrian Civil War
Top Conflicts to Watch in 2021: What's Next for Syria

Steven A. Cook is Eni Enrico Mattei senior fellow for Middle East and Africa studies and director of the International Affairs Fellowship for Tenured International Relations Scholars at the Council o…

Turkey-backed Syrian rebel fighters walk in a field of flowers in Idlib, Syria, on April 15, 2020.

January 14, 2021

Conflict Prevention
What to Worry About in 2021

With attention focused on a slew of pressing domestic crises the new Biden Administration will have to contend with, U.S. policymakers should not ignore the risks of serious international conflicts e…

South Korean Marines patrol on Yeonpyeong Island, on June 17, 2020.

December 18, 2020

Transition 2021
Transition 2021: How Much Foreign Policy Leverage Is Trump Leaving Biden?

Each Friday, I look at what is happening in President-Elect Joe Biden’s transition to the White House. This week: The Biden administration may have less leverage to strike winning deals than he, and …

President-Elect Joe Biden stands behind a podium labelled "Office of the President Elect."

December 17, 2020

2020 in Review
Ten Most Significant World Events in 2020

Four years ago stories appeared asking whether 2016 was the worst year ever. Well, 2020 has 2016 beat. You would have to go back to 1968 to find a year filled with as much turmoil. Yes, the past twel…

Pakistan students

May 5, 2020

Turkey
Turkey Shows the Value of Balance Sheet Analysis

Selling reserves borrowed from the banks ultimately puts the health of Turkey's banks at risk.

Turkish External Debt (USD BIllions)