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January 10, 2019

Syrian Civil War
The Top Conflicts to Watch in 2019: Syria

This year, the continued violent reimposition of government control in Syria was included as a top tier priority in the Center for Preventive Action’s annual Preventive Priorities Survey.

A banner depicting Syrian leader Assad.

January 10, 2019

Southeast Asia
After Democracies Collapse

Since the mid-2000s, democracy has regressed in nearly every part of the world. Global monitoring organization Freedom House (for whom I consult on reports on several Asian states) has recorded decli…

Duterte_12.21.2016

January 9, 2019

International Economic Policy
Time for China, Germany, the Netherlands, and Korea to Step Up

The world's surplus countries have the ability to do more to support global growth.

Time for China, Germany, the Netherlands, and Korea to Step Up

January 9, 2019

Turkey
Turkey Is An Unreliable Partner In The Fight Against ISIS

Erdogan promises to finish America's fight against the Islamic State, but it's the Kurds that he's out to destroy.

A Turkish soldier waves a flag on Mount Barsaya, northeast of Afrin, Syria January 28 ,2018.

January 2, 2019

U.S. Foreign Policy
The World in 2019: A Conversation With CFR's National Intelligence Fellow

After more than thirty years of federal government service, CFR's Michael P. Dempsey shares his reflections on the state of U.S. national security, global conflicts, and the U.S. intelligence communi…

Syrian man Idlib

December 19, 2018

Conflict Prevention
DRC, Afghanistan, and Egypt at Highest Risk for Mass Killing

The Democratic Republic of Congo, Afghanistan, and Egypt top the list of countries most likely to experience a new mass killing in 2018 or 2019, according to a new forecast. 

Policemen fire tear gas during protest in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo

December 5, 2018

Emerging Markets
What’s in Store for Emerging Markets?

Market pressure on Turkey and Argentina has abated a bit, thanks to a large IMF program that funds Argentina for another year and the apparent ability of Turkey’s banks to roll over a large share of …

What’s in Store for Emerging Markets?

November 28, 2018

Argentina
The G20 Tango: What to Expect From the Buenos Aires Summit

This week's G20 summit promises to be a dramatic spectacle. The ongoing U.S.-China trade war, a showdown in the Kerch Strait, and an international murder mystery will be among the intrigues. 

Donald J. Trump and Xi Jinping at the 2017 G20 summit in Hamburg.

November 15, 2018

Turkey
The Case for Reshaping U.S.-Turkey Relations

When Andrew Brunson, the North Carolinian pastor, was released from Turkish custody in October, President Donald J. Trump tweeted that he was looking forward to “good, perhaps great, relations betwee…

U.S. President Donald Trump meets with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey during the U.N. General Assembly in New York, U.S., September 21, 2017. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque

November 9, 2018

Oil and Petroleum Products
Emerging Market Contagion Could Hit the Oil Industry

This is a guest post by Benjamin Silliman, research associate for Energy Security and Climate Change at the Council on Foreign Relations.  When the Trump administration announced temporary waivers…

Turkish Lira and Dollar banknotes.