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May 12, 2017

Trade
U.S. Trade Deficit Stable in Q1 U.S. Trade Deficit Stable in Q1

The U.S. trade deficit did not change much in the first quarter. The real (price adjusted) goods deficit that is. Oil prices were a bit higher in q1 than q4 (they are now back below their q4 levels, …

March 14, 2018

China
Forming an Alliance With U.S. Allies Against Bad Chinese Trade Practices Won’t Be Enough to Bring the Trade Deficit Down Forming an Alliance With U.S. Allies Against Bad Chinese Trade Practices Won’t Be Enough to Bring the Trade Deficit Down

There are growing calls for a global coalition of U.S. allies to pressure China to change some of its most egregious commercial practices. That makes some sense, even if it is much easier said tha…

March 6, 2018

United States
How Will the U.S. Fund its Twin Deficits? How Will the U.S. Fund its Twin Deficits?

Will there be a mismatch between what the U.S. wants to sell (Treasuries) and what the world wants to buy?

October 17, 2017

United States
Chinese steel factory The U.S. Trade Deficit: How Much Does It Matter?

President Trump has made reducing the U.S. trade deficit a priority, blaming trade deals like NAFTA, but economists disagree over how policymakers should respond.

April 9, 2018

Trade
U.S. President Donald Trump's economic adviser Larry Kudlow speaks to reporters at the White House in Washington, U.S., April 6, 2018. Are Trade Wars Bad for U.S. Energy Dominance?

Years ago, Wanda Jablonski, the famous energy journalist and newsletter publisher, gave me an important piece of professional advice. Be careful how many conflicts you take on at one time.  Wanda’…

September 27, 2007

United States
Is the US trade deficit declining?

Michael PettisIn an article in yesterday's Financial Times, Jim O'Neill, who heads global economic research at Goldman Sachs, asks if the US trade deficit is about to disappear.  According to…

July 13, 2005

United States
Has the US trade deficit peaked?

A $55.35 billion monthly deficit is smaller than a $60 billion deficit (February),or even a $59 billion deficit (November). The three monthly rolling average of the monthly trade deficit peaked in F…

June 2, 2017

United States
April U.S. Trade Data April U.S. Trade Data

The U.S. trade deficit jumped in April—after staying roughly flat in the first quarter. Real goods exports in April were just below their q1 average. Real goods imports were a bit higher than t…

April 3, 2015

Trade
The U.S. Trade Deficit: Is It a Problem, or Not?

The United States has run a trade deficit with the rest of the world every year for the past 40 years. With the U.S. debate heating up over the pending Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), we will be hea…

June 4, 2018

United States
Italian flag over Quirinal Palace. Trade Deals or Macroeconomic Shocks?

With ongoing euro uncertainty in Italy, financial turmoil in Argentina and Turkey, and potential fiscal risks to demand in Asia, does the Trump administration's focus on trade deals miss the larger m…