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May 12, 2017

Trade
U.S. Trade Deficit Stable in Q1 U.S. Trade Deficit Stable in Q1

The U.S. trade deficit did not change much in the first quarter. The real (price adjusted) goods deficit that is. Oil prices were a bit higher in q1 than q4 (they are now back below their q4 levels, …

October 17, 2017

United States
Chinese steel factory The U.S. Trade Deficit: How Much Does It Matter?

President Trump has made reducing the U.S. trade deficit a priority, blaming trade deals like NAFTA, but economists disagree over how policymakers should respond.

June 2, 2017

United States
April U.S. Trade Data April U.S. Trade Data

The U.S. trade deficit jumped in April—after staying roughly flat in the first quarter. Real goods exports in April were just below their q1 average. Real goods imports were a bit higher than t…

September 27, 2007

United States
Is the US trade deficit declining?

Michael PettisIn an article in yesterday's Financial Times, Jim O'Neill, who heads global economic research at Goldman Sachs, asks if the US trade deficit is about to disappear.  According to…

July 13, 2005

United States
Has the US trade deficit peaked?

A $55.35 billion monthly deficit is smaller than a $60 billion deficit (February),or even a $59 billion deficit (November). The three monthly rolling average of the monthly trade deficit peaked in F…

October 10, 2017

Puerto Rico
What Puerto Rico Tells Us About Global Trade What Puerto Rico Tells Us About Global Trade

Trade in tax often trumps trade in tasks.

April 3, 2015

Trade
The U.S. Trade Deficit: Is It a Problem, or Not?

The United States has run a trade deficit with the rest of the world every year for the past 40 years. With the U.S. debate heating up over the pending Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), we will be hea…

March 8, 2017

United States
The January U.S. Trade Data The January U.S. Trade Data

Over the last year, U.S. import growth stalled. Capital goods imports did nothing—in part because of weakness in non-residential investment. And consumer goods imports were flat. That appears to hav…

December 6, 2017

United States
Tax Reform and the Trade Balance Tax Reform and the Trade Balance

Warning: long, wonky, and not for the fainthearted. I try to assess how the international reforms will impact where firms book profits and thus the measured trade and income balance, not just the …

January 13, 2009

Emerging Markets
The fall in the US trade deficit in November The fall in the US trade deficit in November

I’ll be unusually brief. I have been working through the latest data on China -- and, well, it is hard to top Calculated Risk. The fall in the US trade deficit today was easy to anticipate. …