Conflict Prevention Resources
Updated March 12, 2015
CPA's conflict prevention resources include the Preventive Priorities Survey series, the Global Conflict Tracker, and an index of publicly available watchlists and datasets. The index of watchlists is organized by dependent variable (conflict and instability; governance; respect for human rights; economic fragility) and like the Preventive Priorities Survey, will be updated periodically to reflect the recalibration of existing online lists, the release of new data, and the completion of future Preventive Priorities Surveys.
Preventive Priorities Survey
In November every year, CPA polls CFR Fellows and other experts on what they think the most pressing conflict prevention priorities will be in the next year.
Conflict and Instability
Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project
(From 1997) produced by the International Peace Research Institute, maps the dates, locations, actors, and types of reported political violence events in over 50 developing countries.
(From 1992; from 1997 in English) produced by the Heidelberg Institute for International Conflict Research, includes information on non-violent and violent crises, wars, coup d'etats as well as peace negotiations.
(From 1975 to one year ago) produced by Uppsala University, filter by type of conflict (war and minor conflict, nonstate conflict, one-sided violence); view profiles on regions and actors.
(From 2003) produced by International Crisis Group, monthly update on significant situations of conflict or potential conflict around the world; includes interactive map and database for updates by country and time period.
Global Conflict Trends
(From 1946) produced by Center for Systemic Peace; indicators include income distributation, armed conflict, states experiencing warfare, deaths and displaced, conflict types, democracy.
Global Peace Index
(From 2008) produced by Vision of Humanity, indicators include perceived criminality, political instability, violent deaths, security personnel, terrorist activity, weapon imports and exports, military expenditure.
Integrated Network for Societal Conflict Research (INSCR)
(Date ranges vary by dataset) produced by Center for Systemic Peace, includes data on armed conflict and intervention, including number of displaced, major political violence, state failure, terrorism, membership in intergovernmental organizations.
Peace and Conflict
(From 2001) produced by the Center for International Development and Conflict Management, biennial publication providing data and trends in national and international conflicts.
Bertelsmann Transformation Index
(From 2006) produced by the Bertelsmann Foundation, measures factors that can lead to "peaceful transition to democracy and a market economy." Organized by quality of democracy and market economy and by leaders' political management.
Fragile States Index
(From 2005) produced by Fund For Peace, previously called Failed States Index. Factors include demographic pressures, refugees, group grievance, uneven economic development, state legitimacy, and more. Includes decade trends and country-by-country trends.
Institutional Profiles Database
(2001, 2006, 2009, 2012, registration required) produced by French Ministry of the Economy, Finance, and Industry and French Agency for Development. Measures institutional characteristics to find relationships between institutions and development.
(From 1800) produced by Center for Systematic Peace, examines "qualities of democratic and autocratic authority in governing institutions." (Interpretation of data requires some sorting or manipulation).
Worldwide Governance Indicators
(1996-2012) produced by the World Bank, includes accountability, political stability and absence of violence, government effectiveness, regulatory quality, rule of law, control of corruption (Interpretation of data requires some sorting or manipulation).
Respect for Human Rights
Trafficking in Persons Reports
(From 2001) produced by U.S. Department of State, studies governmental anti-human trafficking efforts and compares progress based on previous year.
Human Rights Reports
(From 1999) produced by U.S. Department of State, studies individual, civil, political, and worker rights for countries receiving assistance and all United Nations member states to the U.S. Congress.
Political Terror Scale
(1976-2012) produced by University of North Carolina Asheville Professor Marc Gibney, measures levels of political violence and terror that a country experiences in a particular year (Interpretation of data requires some sorting or manipulation).
Country Risk Classification
(From 1999) produced by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), aids in establishing minimum premium rates for credit risk, based on governmental regulations and on disaster or conflict.
Global Risk Monitor
(Nonsubscription version includes one year ago, present, and one year ahead) produced by Oxford Analytica, tracks the likelihood and impact of our top ten global risks.