Global Conflict Tracker
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Conflict Type

Interstate War

Interstate wars are armed conflict between two or more sovereign states. They may arise from disputes over territory, resources, ideology, or power and can escalate into large-scale regional or global confrontations.

Related Conflicts

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Conflict With Iran

Type
Interstate War
Impact on U.S.
High
Status
Worsening

In February 2026, the United States and Israel attacked Iran, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and targeting nuclear and military infrastructure. A Pakistan-mediated ceasefire and June MOU halted large-scale fighting, but both sides have since traded strikes over alleged violations. A durable settlement remains elusive, with core disputes over Iran’s nuclear program, the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions relief unresolved.

An Indian soldier raises his right arm up while holding a gun in the other at a border crossing in the mountains.

Conflict Between India and Pakistan

Type
Interstate War
Impact on U.S.
Medium
Status
Unchanging

Nearly eight decades after the 1947 Partition ignited conflict over Kashmir, India and Pakistan fought their most serious military confrontation since 2019 after a militant attack killed twenty-six tourists in Indian-administered Kashmir in April 2025. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire has held since May, but India’s suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty has prompted Pakistan to warn that water coercion could have serious consequences for regional peace.

A crowd of many people stand in an urban area facing toward men on tanks.

Conflict Between Afghanistan and Pakistan

Type
Interstate WarTerrorism
Impact on U.S.
Low
Status
Unchanging

Relations between Pakistan and Afghanistan are strained by cross-border militancy, with Islamabad attributing a surge in deadly attacks to Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) fighters operating from Afghan territory, an accusation the Taliban government denies. Pakistan has responded with strikes on Taliban military facilities, declaring “open war” in the most direct military confrontation between the two governments to date.

A woman wearing blacks walks on the rubble of bombed buildings while smoke rises.

Conflict With Hezbollah in Lebanon

Type
Interstate WarTerrorism
Impact on U.S.
Medium
Status
Unchanging

Since October 2023, Hezbollah rocket attacks have displaced roughly 96,000 Israelis from northern Israel, triggering cross-border exchanges and a full Israeli ground invasion in March 2026. The offensive left Israel controlling roughly 20 percent of Lebanese territory and over one million Lebanese displaced. In June, a U.S.-brokered framework conditioned any Israeli withdrawal on Hezbollah’s disarmament—a condition the group has rejected, leaving Israeli forces entrenched in southern Lebanon.

A soldier hunches in a trench while smoking a cigarette.

War in Ukraine

Type
Interstate War
Impact on U.S.
Medium
Status
Unchanging

Russia’s February 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine has killed over one million people and left Russia occupying roughly 20 percent of Ukrainian territory. Ukraine has countered with long-range drone strikes that have knocked out up to 40 percent of Russia’s refining capacity, while Russia continues to bombard Ukrainian cities. U.S.-mediated talks between Russia and Ukraine have yet to produce a ceasefire, and the two sides remain divided over territorial concessions and security guarantees for Ukraine.