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Deterring a Nuclear Iran

The Devil in the Details

<p>An Iranian Zelzal missile is launched during a test at an unknown location in central Iran on September 27, 2009. </p>
An Iranian Zelzal missile is launched during a test at an unknown location in central Iran on September 27, 2009. (Ali Shayegan/Reuters)
  • Kenneth M. Pollack
    Director of Research, Saban Center for Middle East Policy

Overview

From a military perspective, what would be required for a containment scheme to successfully deter a nuclear Iran? In this Working Paper, sponsored by the Carnegie Corporation of New York, Kenneth M. Pollack presents formal and informal structures requisite to effectively deter a postnuclear Iran. Pollack’s robust recommendations take into consideration important lessons learned during the Cold War.

Note: Contributors were not asked their views about the possibility that Iran may develop nuclear weapons nor about the most effective U.S. policies to avoid that eventuality. Rather, they were told to assume that despite U.S. efforts, Iran had developed nuclear weapons, and they were asked to help assess U.S. options at that point.t

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