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October 17, 2019

Defense and Security
Funding the Nuclear Triad to Deter Great Power Adversaries

Captain Brian L. Sittlow is a naval officer, specializing in submarines, and a military fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR). The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of th…

Following a strategic deterrence patrol, the Ohio-class ballistic-missile submarine USS Alaska returns to its homeport at Naval Submarine Base Kings Bay, Georgia, U.S. in this April 2, 2019 handout photo.

October 9, 2019

Taiwan
$130+ Billion in Undisclosed Foreign Exchange Intervention by Taiwan's Central Bank

Based on the profits and losses disclosed by Taiwan’s central bank, it appears that its true FX exposures exceed its disclosed foreign exchange reserves by USD 130bn, and perhaps by as much as USD 20…

fig 19

October 24, 2019

Japan
A Puzzle in Japan’s Balance of Payments: What Explains Strong Foreign Demand for JGBs?

Japanese investors have an obvious incentive to search for yield abroad. But why has foreign demand for Japanese bonds almost matched Japanese demand for foreign bonds?

A Puzzle in Japan’s Balance of Payments: What Explains Strong Foreign Demand for JGBs?

September 11, 2019

International Economic Policy
Are Asian Insurers the New European Banks?

It is hard to understand the global flow of funds without understanding the risks now being taken by Japanese, Taiwanese, and Korean life insurers.

Are Asian Insurers the New European Banks?

April 23, 2019

Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka Bombings: What We Know

A high level of coordination suggests the perpetrators had substantial expertise, possibly drawn from a foreign-based terrorist group.

Mourners carry the coffins of victims of the Sri Lanka bombings during a mass funeral in April.

April 24, 2019

Venezuela
Trump’s Misguided Policies Are a Gift to Venezuela’s Maduro

Punishing allies won’t help to rally international support for the restoration of democracy.

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks about the crisis in Venezuela during a visit to Florida International University in Miami, Florida, U.S., February 18, 2019.

April 17, 2019

Genocide and Mass Atrocities
By Any Other Name: Thoughts on U.S. Genocide Determinations

The history of the Genocide Convention stretches back more than seventy years, yet much work remains to be done to prevent and respond to atrocities. 

A person holds a candle during a night vigil and prayer at the Amahoro Stadium as part of the 25th commemoration of the 1994 genocide, in Kigali, Rwanda, on April 7, 2019.

October 9, 2013

Europe and Eurasia
Paul Krugman’s Baltic Bust—Part III

Geo-Graphics posts in July 2010 and 2012 showed that Paul Krugman’s devaluation-driven “Icelandic Miracle” was nothing of the sort – a figment of his having chosen the most favorable possible star…

Paul Krugman’s Baltic Bust—Part III

July 17, 2017

Digital Policy
Report Watch Vol. III: State Control of Online Content

A look at the latest digital and cyber scholarship: computational propaganda, trolls in China, and internet censorship.

Note-taking

March 29, 2019

Terrorism and Counterterrorism
How Serious Is White Nationalist Terrorism?

In the aftermath of the New Zealand mosque attacks, public debate is mounting in Western democracies over the severity of the threat posed by far-right extremists.

New Zealand