Nov 29, 2017
The Challenge From North Korea

The Challenge From North Korea

A nuclear-armed North Korea is a threat to the fragile strategic equilibrium on the Korean Peninsula and to international security at large. Emboldened by a nuclear arsenal, the highly militarized regime of President Kim Jong-un could be tempted to embark on aggressive acts. Meanwhile, the United States could opt for preventive military action.

The authors thank Mark Fitzpatrick, Oliver Meier, and Artur Kacprzyk for comments that greatly improved this working paper.

The Challenge From North Korea
Nov 12, 2019
Despite the continuing efforts to resolve the North Korean challenge, there have been no signs that a resolution is near, and North Korea remains a global threat beyond its nuclear ambitions.
Jun 25, 2018

This piece lays out the challenges ahead for achieving the goals set out in the Singapore Joint Statement from Kim Jong-un and Donald Trump.

Dec 12, 2017

This outlines Russia’s solution to the North Korea crisis. Russia remains firmly opposed to North Korea’s nuclear weapons program, but wants to solve the crisis diplomatically. Russian ministers have outlined a state-by-stage plan, focused on dialogue.

Mar 08, 2017

This paper argues the U.S., in partnership with Japan and South Korea, must consider offering the first concession to North Korea by assuring no-first-use of military action in exchange for a full stop of North Korea’s nuclear and missile testing program.

Jul 10, 2017

This commentary argues that while most analysts insist the Trump administration’s threats toward North Korea are bluff and bluster, one must pay heed to increasingly fatalistic language as it suggests that matters are coming to a head.

Oct 03, 2017

This article argues that the Trump administration’s approach to North Korea is actually effective. Using textbook crisis management strategy, Trump has raised the cost of North Korea’s nuclear program, and gotten China on board with enforcing sanctions.

Oct 19, 2017

This argues that encouraging Japan and South Korea to nuclearize in order to maintain stability in the region would lead to increasing tensions and create a “Mexican standoff” where no one can back down form a crisis.