39 Results for:

April 21, 2009

Monetary Policy
If the U.S. Dollar Plummets

Overview The scale of financing needed to support the U.S. fiscal deficit—together with the Federal Reserve’s policy of keeping U.S. interest rates low to ward off deflation—has revived concerns a…

If the U.S. Dollar Plummets header

June 25, 2009

Ukraine
Crisis Between Ukraine and Russia

Overview In October 2015, the author wrote an update to this memo to reflect recent developments in Ukraine. Read the update. Ukraine continues to face internal political turmoil and tense rela…

Crisis Between Ukraine and Russia header

January 13, 2010

Terrorism and Counterterrorism
Terrorism and Indo-Pakistani Escalation

Overview India faces the real prospect of another major terrorist attack by Pakistan-based terrorist organizations in the near future, an event that would jeopardize important U.S. security intere…

Terrorism and Indo-Pakistani Escalation header

March 18, 2010

Sudan
Renewed Conflict in Sudan

Overview Sudan faces the prospect of renewed violence between north and south over the next twelve to eighteen months. Overwhelmingly in favor of independence, the south will either secede peacefu…

Renewed Conflict in Sudan header

July 12, 2010

Lebanon
A Third Lebanon War

Overview There is growing concern of renewed war between Israel and Hezbollah, the Lebanese militant Islamist group. Since the last major Israel-Hezbollah conflict in Lebanon in the summer of 2006…

A Third Lebanon War header

September 21, 2010

Nigeria
Electoral Violence in Nigeria

Overview In February 2015, the author wrote an update to this memo to reflect recent developments in Nigeria. Read the update. Elections in Nigeria scheduled for January 2011 may well be the fi…

Electoral Violence in Nigeria header

May 18, 2011

Democratic Republic of Congo
Crisis in the Congo

Overview Crisis in the Congo describes the Democratic Republic of the Congo's near-term vulnerability to convulsive electoral violence and renewed rebellion on its periphery. In this Contingency P…

Crisis in the Congo header

August 25, 2011

Pakistan
A Pakistan-based Terrorist Attack on the U.S. Homeland

Overview Al-Qaeda remains committed to striking the United States, but its capacity has been limited by counterterrorism efforts and so might work with or through associated Pakistani outfits to l…

A Pakistan-based Terrorist Attack on the U.S. Homeland header

April 11, 2012

South China Sea
Armed Clash in the South China Sea

In April 2015, the author wrote an update to this memo to reflect recent developments in the South China Sea. Read the update. Introduction The risk of conflict in the South China Sea is signif…

Armed Clash in the South China Sea header

August 9, 2012

Iraq
Renewed Violence in Iraq

Introduction Iraq remains a fragile state deeply traumatized and riven by thirty years of war, sanctions, occupation, and civil strife. Although there are numerous positive signs of progress in Ir…

Renewed Violence in Iraq header