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July 21, 2005

China shifts to a basket peg

But the change against the dollar is small.  Very small. Too small in my view to have much of an economic impact, in any way.  On trade flows.  Or on capital flows.  I would still bet on a furth…

August 1, 2005

China
Can China add close to $300 b to its reserves a year and have no impact on the bond market?

Rarely do I disagree with the premise of an article more than with the Mark Whitehouse  Friday C1  Wall Street Journal article "China's Move Makes No Waves in Bond Market." Premise.  China moved.  It…

August 3, 2005

Monetary Policy
Are US companies to Bretton Woods 2 …

What gold was to Bretton Woods 1?In the post war Bretton Woods system, the dollar was - at least in principle - fully convertible into gold at a fixed rate.   In practice, after a certain point in th…

August 22, 2005

Capital Flows
The Wall Street Journal oped’s page idea of a “serious” policy on Iran …

Is to keep Iran out of the World Cup (see Monday's Wall Street Journal).    That is serious?Moscow's boycott of the Los Angeles Olympics had such a profound impact on US policy ... How about a seriou…

September 16, 2005

United States
The q2 current account deficit and global adjustment

Some days are marked by a surplus of good material.   The TIC data.  The second quarter current account data.  DeLong's magnus opus on what the great and good talked about on the margins of Jackson h…