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July 11, 2017

Energy and Environment
Interactive: Oil Exporters' External Breakeven Prices

The 2014 fall in global oil prices, from over $100 a barrel to around $50 a barrel, reduced the export proceeds of the world’s main oil- and gas-exporting economies by about $1 trillion. After a deca…

July 11, 2017

Fossil Fuels
Using External Breakeven Prices to Track Vulnerabilities in Oil-Exporting Countries

The best single measure of the resilience of an oil- or gas-exporting economy in the face of swings in the global oil price is its external breakeven price: the oil price that covers its import bill…

External breakevens petroleum oil

May 9, 2019

Sudan
The Roots of Sudan's Upheaval

While the Sudanese military expelled President Omar al-Bashir from office, the people of Sudan are ultimately responsible for toppling his regime, and the leaders of the protest movement have promised not to let up until civilian rule is secured. They well know that any persistence of military control represents a continuation of the Bashir regime, and in particular, the Arabic-speaking population’s monopoly of power.

Sudan-Protest-Bashir-Transition

May 7, 2019

International Law
Four Challenges for International Law and Cyberspace: Sartre, Baby Carriages, Horses, and Simon & Garfunkel Part 2

For years states and scholars have struggled with questions of when and how international law applies to cyberspace. The final post in the two-part series will provide imagery to help grapple with th…

Members of the United Nations Security Council at the United Nations headquarters in New York, U.S., February 24, 2018.

April 24, 2019

North Korea
No Easy Solutions: Northeast Asia's Muddled Security Landscape

Strategic clarity and a long-term vision are sorely needed to provide direction in the messier, muddled reality that has arrived in Northeast Asia.

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April 5, 2019

Robots and Artificial Intelligence
Cyber Week in Review: April 5, 2019

This Week in Review: Google scraps AI board; former U.S. intelligence officials involved in UAE hack; U.S.-China trade talks focus on digital trade; and Facebook calls for new regulations.  

A Google sign is seen during the WAIC (World Artificial Intelligence Conference) in Shanghai, China, September 17, 2018.

February 22, 2019

Nigeria
Nigerian Police Asked to Fend for Themselves During Election Delay

Two days before Nigeria’s election postponement was announced, thousands of police officers travelled from their duty stations to field postings across the country to ensure the security of voters and sensitive election materials. A week later, officers remain in the field without stipends for food and accommodation. 

Nigeria-Police-Election-2019-Adamawa

February 11, 2019

United States
Campaign 2020: Kamala Harris, Democratic Presidential Candidate

Government prosecutors often have political ambitions. The list of prosecutors who became mayor (think Rudy Guiliani) or governor (think Chris Christie) is long. But the last president to have any ex…

Kamala 2020

February 11, 2019

Germany
The Case for a Significant German Stimulus Is Now Overwhelming

Germany’s economy is slowing by more than can easily be explained by the obvious slowdown in exports (see Gavyn Davies, who, to be fair, believes there were some one-off drags to German growth in h2 …

The Case for a Significant German Stimulus Is Now Overwhelming

January 8, 2019

Yemen
The Top Conflicts to Watch in 2019: Yemen

This year, a worsening of the humanitarian crisis in Yemen was included as a top tier priority in the Center for Preventive Action’s annual Preventive Priorities Survey.

Houthi militants ride on the back of a truck.