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April 23, 2005

Economics
A glass half empty, in three different ways

It seems to me that there are three big risks - the result of what economists like to call imbalances -- hanging over the global economy, even leaving aside the possibility of an old fashioned oil su…

May 14, 2005

Economics
It seems like both the People’s Bank of China and W

hold lots of worthless IOUs in their portfolios (link via Dan Gross/ Moneyblog).There seems to be a lot to talk about this weekend, whether the Fed’s various views on the risks associated with the US…

June 17, 2005

Emerging Markets
Oil at $58. A bit on the global savings glut too

Oil closed above $58 a barrel on Friday. That’s kind of high. Kevin Drum nicely summarizes the range of explanations that have been put forward to explain oil’s recent rise. I tend to agree with h…

June 19, 2005

China
Two articles on China. One good. One not so good.

Reuters has done a nice wrap up of what we know -- and more importantly what we don’t know -- about how China manages its reserves. They correctly note that the TIC data misses so much that it, alon…

June 30, 2005

Capital Flows
CNOOC (once again)

The CNOOC bid presumably is motivated by two things. One, Beijing has plenty of cash, and already holds more Treasuries than it wants, so it wants to diversify its portfolio. As I argued earlier, C…