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January 11, 2005

Financial Markets
Not where we should want to be

It is not a good sign when market strategists say any mention of "fundamentals" is dollar negative. From Wednesday’s FT:Mr Snow reaffirmed that his administration’s concept of a "strong dollar" was …

May 19, 2005

Monetary Policy
Korea can not make up its mind either: are they for currency intervention or against it?

First, South Korea opts out of the Bretton Woods 2 system of reserve financing. That would be the first really big outright public defection. Korea has lots of reserves -- and its central bank clea…

January 12, 2006

China
Asian central banks back in the fx market

Pretty much all of them.   It is 2004 all over again. From Dow Jones: Foreign-exchange traders said the central banks of South Korea, Malaysia, Taiwan and Singapore bought U.S. dollars Thursday, pu…

March 8, 2006

Emerging Markets
The market concludes (many) risks do not exist. And then it reevaluates.

I was going to write about how the markets have concluded that risk does not exist.After all, early last week, the market thought that dollar bonds issued by emerging economies were not that much mor…

November 24, 2006

Financial Markets
Deja vu all over again (dollar falls v. the euro when Americans are on vacation edition)

Maybe it is just me, but Thankgiving 2006 is starting to feel a bit like the period after Christmas in 2004.   Both periods saw sharp falls in the dollar in thin markets.  1.31 isn’t 1.36.  But, in a…