98 Results for:

November 20, 2004

United States
Large Players in Large Markets

One of the world’s ironies is that even as John Snow putters on about how currency values should be set by market forces, the market -- or at least the private market -- is now playing a comparativel…

December 11, 2004

United States
The Global Test

My harping on the fact that US economic policy now has to pass a global test is not simply meant to score rhetorical points. I suspect that the same folks who financed the expansion of the US curren…

August 5, 2005

Capital Flows
China, the US and the geopolitics of oil

The CNOOC Unocal saga is over. But CNOOC's ambitions remain: Energy market experts now expect Cnooc, which is controlled by the Beijing government, to explore opportunities throughout the Asia-Pa…

August 16, 2005

Budget, Debt, and Deficits
Well, the 2005 fiscal deficit looks good …

I'll leave it to others (Brookings, Goldman, CBPP, DeLong with some help from Concord Coalition) to transform the CBO forecast into realistic projections.  Manipulating the CBO long-term budget f…

October 26, 2005

United States
What to say when the markets are listening to Stephen Jen?

The Economist's Buttonwood struggles with something I have also struggled with:Stephen "Interest rate and growth differentials, not current account deficits" Jen has basically been right on the d…

January 28, 2006

China
Another great irony of history: The Chinese Communist party is a very profitable real estate company

Max Sawicky noted that key source of recent job creation in the capitalist United States has been the US government, which itself is financed, in no small part by the People's Bank of China.  The…

March 29, 2006

China
Exit Schumer and Graham, Enter Grassley and Baucus

Schumer-Graham won't be brought to a vote until September.   China's central bank governor Zhou must  be persuasive.  Maybe he plotted out where the RMB will likely be if China continues with…

April 3, 2006

China
Grassley-Baucus-Adams? And (another) long rant about the Economist …

The Treasury doesn't want to declare China to be guilty of manipulation.   Picking a fight with one of your biggest creditors isn't smart.  Right now, no one is buying more US debt (China buy…

Grassley-Baucus-Adams?  And (another) long rant about the Economist …

September 12, 2006

United States
Not quite so bright after all … (The July trade data)

The trade deficit (ex-oil) was thought to be on a downward trajectory.     But after today’s data, that argument may need to be reconsidered. I have been a bit more cautious than most in pre…

September 28, 2006

Financial Markets
Exit Schumer-Graham; Enter Schumer-Graham-Baucus-Grassley ….

And exit an undervalued yuan; enter an undervalued yuan and a undervalued yen. Schumer and Graham are dropping their bill – apparently for good.   It was pretty clear that they were unwilling to …