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July 28, 2005

Emerging Markets
Argentina has found an easy way to keep its reserves from rising

Pay off the IMF. Argentina is one of the few countries whose reserves have been growing about as fast as China's.  It just started 2003 with about $10 b in reserves (and a ton of debt), while Ch…

July 29, 2005

Economics
More trade with Central America, less with China?

Is that the deal that brought wavering Republicans from textile states on board?  We will see. But the House speaker, J. Dennis Hastert, told him they needed his vote anyway. If he switched from "nay…

August 9, 2005

Capital Flows
Iran, Nukes, China, Oil, and a few other things

I wonder if Iran's intransigence is any way related to this? Obviously, the risk of a supply disruption, whether in Saudi Arabia, Iran or Iraq is one reason why oil prices are high. But I suspect tha…

August 25, 2005

Capital Flows
Peter Galbraith and Iraq

I think the folks over at TPM Café are right: David Brooks' latest New York Times column is a real flip-flop.  He has gone from celebrating the United States firm commitment to universal democratic p…

September 12, 2005

United States
Katrina and the current account deficit

At least a half percent off US GDP growth for the remainder of this year (Goldman says more), $150 billion in new federal spending (much of that in fiscal 2006), higher gasoline prices now and next y…