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June 29, 2005

Capital Flows
Selling off little pieces of yourself

If the US wanted to fund its current account deficit by selling equity, it would need to sell off the equivalent of 40 Unocal’s a year -- whether Chinese state firms, European firms, Japanese insurer…

March 15, 2006

Emerging Markets
Feeding the hand that bites you …

Justin Lahart writes well; I stole the "feeding the hand that bites you" line from him.  It is a good one.The US tells China (oops, CNOOC) that it cannot buy Unocal, even though Unocal's energy asset…

April 30, 2006

Can the dollar block survive another bout of dollar weakness?

In case you haven't noticed, the dollar is now closer to 1.30 (v. the euro) than 1.20 - or even 1.15.  Carry is no longer king.   There is talk of a "regime change" in the fx market.  Or at least an …

December 6, 2007

Emerging Markets
The new financial superpowers (part 1)

In James Clavell’s Noble House, there is a scene where a fictional Scottish trading house operating in colonial Hong Kong ends either a run on its bank or a run on its stock (or maybe both – I forget…

January 12, 2008

Capital Flows
Wall Street, the new development frontier …

The children of China’s revolution have turned into capitalists. The China Development Bank now apparently aspires to be a commercial bank, not a policy bank limited to helping finance investment in …