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November 12, 2004

Capital Flows
Geopolitics of a new G-7

There is a growing sense that the G-7 no longer is the right grouping for discussing today’s major international macroeconomic issues. It is hard to see, for example, how you can discuss "global reb…

November 29, 2004

Financial Markets
Where is China keeping its reserves …

It is not too hard to figure out what Japan is doing with its reserves. From the beginning of 2003 to September 2004, Japan’s official reserves increased by $360 billion. Over that time frame, Japan…

December 4, 2004

United States
China is backing the US mortgage market

This New York Times article delves into the management of both China and Japan’s reserves.One interesting tidbit -- the article suggests China’s reserves are now close to $600 billion. The last repo…

January 5, 2005

Budget, Debt, and Deficits
Unraveling the mysteries of the Treasury yield curve

If you cannot tell from the title, this is going to be a rather wonky post. Nouriel and I are working on a paper on "Bretton Woods Two," so I have been delving into some data on the Treasury market. …

January 8, 2005

Has the broad dollar fallen enough

A standard rule of thumb, mentioned by Paul Blustein in his excellent look at the impact of a falling dollar on US trade last week, is that a 10% fall in the broad dollar leads to a $100 billion fall…