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March 9, 2005

Monetary Policy
Reserve accumulation and the financing of the February US trade deficit

The dollar is under a bit of pressure today. The renminbi keeps falling too. The logic behind China’s tight peg to the dollar continues to elude me. The US dollar needs to depreciate as part of an…

July 18, 2005

China
If your reserves are growing by $300 billion a year

China indicated its reserves have increased to $711 billion at the end of June -- up $101 billion from the end of December 2004. Actually, they are up more than that. China transferred $15 billion …

July 21, 2005

China shifts to a basket peg

But the change against the dollar is small.  Very small. Too small in my view to have much of an economic impact, in any way.  On trade flows.  Or on capital flows.  I would still bet on a furth…

August 1, 2005

China
Summarizing China in one paragraph …

is hard, but James McGregor gave it a go in the Sunday Washington Post: It is difficult to overstate the transformation that has swept China in the past 15 years. To frame it in terms of comparable h…

September 16, 2005

Economics
Happy (late) blog birthday

It has been a bit over a year since I started doing this.   I did not anticipate the blog would generate half the audience it has.   I often have focused on relatively obscure topics: the global bala…