56 Results for:

January 3, 2006

United States
Dark matter watch

Ok, not real dark matter.   Hausmann and Sturzenegger defined "dark matter" as the difference between the assets (or liabilities) implied by US "income" payments, and the United States net internatio…

December 8, 2005

United States
Emerging market bubble watch - and a word or two on dark matter

Ecuador is the kind of country that can borrow only when times are really, really good for emerging economies.  It has been and - as far as I can tell - remains politically dysfunctional.   It tends …

April 27, 2006

Unpleasant balance of payments math — why the interest rate matters for dark matter

Bill Cline of the IIE rightly took Nouriel and me to task (politely) for assuming that the average return on US FDI abroad would equal the average return on foreign FDI in the US in our 2004 paper on…

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February 1, 2006

United States
A debt-for-goods swap, not a debt-for-equity swap; and dark antimatter, not dark matter

Stephen Jen argues that the US-Asian relationship can be understood as a debt for equity swap.    Asian - led by China - buys US debt; the US buys Asian equities/ invests in Asian plant and equipment…

March 30, 2006

United States
Read Barry Eichengreen

Eichengreen provides the best summary I have seen of competing views on the sustainability of large US trade deficits, along with the impact of sustained trade deficts on US external debt and the inv…