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January 18, 2007

Financial Markets
Do lower oil prices mean the end of the saving glut?

That is question Justin Lahart raises in his Wall Street Journal column. His answer is a qualified yes.  I would answer with a qualified maybe.  Or maybe with a muted yes.   The oil exporters have sh…

January 23, 2006

United States
Geithner states the obvious; dollar falls

Obvious point number one: The adjustment process that brings the US external deficit down could be smooth, or not-so-smooth.   We don't know. No country as big as the US has run a deficit this large …

May 2, 2014

Defense and Security
You Might Have Missed: Terrorism, Women in Nonprofits, and China

Ehud Yaari and Michael Morell, “Israel vs. al-Qaeda: Emerging Challenges on Two Fronts,” The Washington Institute, April 29, 2014. Michael Morell: For everyone 100 hours I spent in the Sit Room talk…

Hagel and China

December 11, 2004

United States
Data releases next week

I am going to be away from my desk next week, and don’t expect to be posting much -- at least not until next Friday. I’ll miss three key data releases:The October trade data on Tuesday.The October T…

February 18, 2016

Intelligence
Guest Post: Do-It-Yourself Military Intelligence

Harry Oppenheimer and Aaron Picozzi are research associates at the Council on Foreign Relations. An unparalleled, indiscriminate and growing wave of transparency is exposing the deployment of milita…

Syria Air STrip