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November 9, 2018

China
Foreign Capital Has Been Propping Up China’s Currency. Here’s What Happens When It Leaves.

“I think China’s manipulating their currency, absolutely,” President Trump said back in August. Yet the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) was, and has been, intervening to keep the RMB up, and not to…

Foreign Capital Has Been Propping Up China’s Currency. Here’s What Happens When It Leaves.

October 30, 2018

Economics
The Fed Should End Forward Guidance

In the Wall Street Journal earlier this month, we examined the change over time in the market reaction to Fed “forward guidance” on future interest rates. During the crisis, with the Fed’s policy…

The Fed Should End Forward Guidance

October 18, 2018

China
With Growth Sagging, China Shifts Back to Socialism

“Deleveraging at State-Owned Enterprises,” said Chinese president Xi Jinping back in July 2017, “is of the utmost importance.” Fast forward to today, and the sentiment rings hollow. With growt…

With Growth Sagging, China Shifts Back to Socialism

November 14, 2018

Oman
Oman Just Bought Israeli Insurance

This article first appeared here on ForeignPolicy.com on November 7, 2018. A little more than a week ago, the drumbeat of news concerning Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi’s murder was briefly inte…

Oman's leader Sultan Qaboos bin Said attends the opening of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) summit in Doha December 3, 2007. REUTERS/Fadi Al-Assaad (QATAR)

September 18, 2018

United States
U.S. Housing-Market Trends Suggest Recession Around Election Time, 2020

Ten years ago, in September 2008, plunging home prices pushed Lehman Brothers into bankruptcy, fueling a financial crisis that sent the United States, and much of the world, into a deep recession…

U.S. Housing-Market Trends Suggest Recession Around Election Time, 2020

November 9, 2018

Oil and Petroleum Products
Emerging Market Contagion Could Hit the Oil Industry

This is a guest post by Benjamin Silliman, research associate for Energy Security and Climate Change at the Council on Foreign Relations.  When the Trump administration announced temporary waivers…

Turkish Lira and Dollar banknotes.

November 5, 2018

United States
Litigating the Family Separation Policy: A Conversation With Muneer Ahmad

Senior Fellow Catherine Powell hosted a roundtable discussion with Muneer Ahmad, a leading voice and scholar on immigrant rights, on strategies for litigating the Trump administration’s family separa…

Central American asylum seekers wait as U.S. Border Patrol agents take them into custody near McAllen, Texas. The families were then sent to a U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) processing center for possible separation.

November 1, 2018

International Organizations
The IMF: The World’s Controversial Financial Firefighter

The International Monetary Fund, both criticized and lauded for its efforts to promote financial stability, continues to find itself at the forefront of global economic crisis management.

IMF Director Christine Lagarde

September 6, 2018

Trade
Trump’s Trade War Is Hitting U.S. and China Stocks Equally

“Tariffs are working far better than anyone ever anticipated,” President Trump tweeted on August 4. “China market has dropped 27% in last 4 months.” The president’s numbers are off—China’s sto…

Trump’s Trade War Is Hitting U.S. and China Stocks Equally

August 13, 2018

Russia
Did Russia Really Dump Its U.S. Debt?

“Russia dumped 84% of its American debt,” blared a July CNN headline. Russian central-bank head Elvira Nabiullina said the sales were just part of “diversifying the entire structure of currencies…

Did Russia Really Dump Its U.S. Debt?