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October 23, 2020

Turkey
The Changing Nature of Turkey’s Balance Sheet Risks

Pay attention to banking system's foreign currency exposure to the government ...

The Changing Nature of Turkey’s Balance Sheet Risks

October 20, 2020

Trade
China’s Surplus is Rising Rapidly. So is the U.S. Deficit. The IMF Cannot Turn a Blind Eye.

Do not use the IMF’s current account forecast in the Fall 2020 World Economic Outlook (WEO). It is already out of date.     

China’s Surplus is Rising Rapidly. So is the U.S. Deficit. The IMF Cannot Turn a Blind Eye.

October 23, 2020

Election 2020
Campaign Foreign Policy Roundup: Biden and Trump Debate Foreign Policy, Kinda

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential contenders are saying about foreign policy. This week: foreign policy was a topic at the second and final presidential debate of the 2020 campaign. 

Joe Biden and Donald Trump gesture at each other from behind their podiums while Kristen Welker is seated between them on the debate stage.

August 11, 2020

U.S. Foreign Policy
The History of U.S. Foreign Policy, With Ambassador Robert B. Zoellick

Ambassador Robert B. Zoellick, who is currently a senior fellow at the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard University’s Kennedy School of Government, sits down with James M…

Podcast A child waves the United States flag from the crown of Liberty Enlightening the World, less formally known as The Statue of Liberty, on Liberty Island in New York Harbor.

October 16, 2020

Election 2020
Campaign Foreign Policy Roundup: What to Do About Afghanistan?

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential contenders are saying about foreign policy. This week: how Donald Trump and Joe Biden say the United States should deal with Afghanistan

Soldiers

October 7, 2020

Emerging Economies
Reframing the Collective Action Problem in Sovereign Bond Restructuring

A recent white paper from Lazard points out that emerging market sovereign bond holdings are often fairly concentrated among a handful of big players.  The main impediment to collective action may be…

Reframing the Collective Action Problem in Sovereign Bond Restructuring

October 7, 2020

Robots and Artificial Intelligence
With "Burn-In," Cole and Singer Show Us the Robotic Future We Need to Avoid

Burn-In: A Novel of the Real Robotic Revolution gives us the worst-case scenario of how increased automation can affect the U.S. economy and society.

French robot Pepper, detecting whether people are wearing face masks and if not, instructs them to wear them.

July 23, 2020

Economics
Revisiting the Ides of March, Part III: Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark

This is a guest blog by Josh Younger, an interest rate strategist at J.P. Morgan. Joshua Younger is employed by the Research Department of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. All views expressed in this forum ar…

Revisiting the Ides of March, Part III: Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark

July 22, 2020

Economics
Revisiting the Ides of March, Part II: The Going Gets Weird

This is a guest blog by Josh Younger, an interest rate strategist at J.P. Morgan. Joshua Younger is employed by the Research Department of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. All views expressed in this forum ar…

Revisiting the Ides of March, Part II: The Going Gets Weird

October 5, 2020

China
Record Chinese Bilateral Surpluses With the United States Are Not Mirrored in the U.S. Trade Data

Is China’s surplus with the United States back at a record level? It depends. In China’s data, China’s exports to the United States and its surplus with the United States are at all-time highs. The U…

Record Chinese Bilateral Surpluses With the United States Are Not Mirrored in the U.S. Trade Data