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September 20, 2018

International Finance
Three Sudden Stops and a Surge

Reflections on the Global Financial Crisis, through the lens of the U.S. balance of payments.

Three Sudden Stops and a Surge

September 13, 2018

Turkey
Could A Coalition of the “Friends of Turkey” Ride to Turkey’s Financial Rescue?

Turkey is in a bit of financial trouble. It isn’t clear that today's rate hike on its own will be enough. The rate hike will make the lira a bit more attractive to foreign investors (and will raise t…

Could A Coalition of the “Friends of Turkey” Ride to Turkey’s Financial Rescue?

August 29, 2018

International Finance
Can Anyone Other than the U.S. Fund a Current Account Deficit These Days?

Almost all oil-importing emerging economies with current account deficits are under market pressure to adjust ... 

Can Anyone Other than the U.S. Fund a Current Account Deficit These Days?

September 17, 2018

Defense and Security
Paul C. Warnke Lecture on International Security With Wendy R. Sherman

The Paul C. Warnke Lecture on International Security was established in 2002 and is endowed by a number of Council members and the family and friends of Paul C. Warnke.

Play Warnke Lecture

August 20, 2018

Turkey
Framing Turkey’s Financial Vulnerabilites: Some Rhymes with the Asian Crisis, but Not a Repeat

Turkey has some similarities with the Asian crisis countries back in the 1990s, but also important differences. When emerging-market crisis typologies are updated to reflect the events of 2018, Turke…

Framing Turkey’s Financial Vulnerabilites: Some Rhymes with the Asian Crisis, but Not a Repeat

September 13, 2018

Military Operations
CFR Welcomes Visiting Fellows

September 11, 2018—The Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) welcomes the 2018–19 visiting fellows to the David Rockefeller Studies Program. Selected fellows have the opportunity to broaden their perspe…

July 30, 2018

International Economic Policy
Gone Fishing

I am planning to take the next few weeks off—no blogging. That at least is the plan, barring a major financial surprise. It thus seems a natural time to look back at the topics I have covered in t…

July 26, 2018

Vietnam
Is Vietnam the New China?

Vietnam appears to be taking a page out of China's post-WTO playbook by intervening to keep its currency weak and its exports strong.

Is Vietnam the New China?

July 23, 2018

China
China’s Currency Is Back in Play

China's currency is getting awfully close to some key levels, levels where in the past China has resisted further depreciation. The signals China sends from here on will be critical.

China’s Currency Is Back in Play

April 25, 2018

Ireland
Tax Avoidance and the Irish Balance of Payments

At this point, profit shifting by multinational corporations doesn’t distort Ireland’s balance of payments; it constitutes Ireland’s balance of payments.

Irish Flag and Apple Logo