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December 22, 2004

Martin Wolf explains the fall in the renminbi-dollar

Martin Wolf did the math: it turns out the renminbi-dollar zone has a current account deficit (projected) of $260 billion with the world this year. The United States’ current account deficit of $650…

Blog Post by Brad W. Setser Follow the Money

December 22, 2004

One more point on Martin Wolf

It is a simple point, but an important one. Wolf says the United States would be fine if it reduced its current account deficit from 6% of GDP to 3% of GDP. External debt to GDP then stabilizes at …

Blog Post by Brad W. Setser Follow the Money

January 24, 2005

Budget, Debt, and Deficits
Hubbard is in pole position: the Sunday New York Time buried the lede

Apparently the Federal Reserve is beginning to worry that the Administration is not all that serious about reducing the fiscal deficit ... Wonder why. It seems like Martin Feldstein’s concerns abou…

Blog Post by Brad W. Setser Follow the Money

January 25, 2005

Emerging Markets
Memo to John Taylor: In what sense was the Argentine crisis contained?

David Sanger goes back to his roots as the New York Times’ Treasury correspondent, and outlines the tensions that the dollar’s slide over the past few years has created. Sanger digs up a bunch of ol…

Blog Post by Brad W. Setser Follow the Money

January 25, 2005

Budget, Debt, and Deficits
When will the bond market wake up

I know, I know, Morgan Stanley’s investors have spoken, and there is no bond market bubble. But the federal government certainly is swimming in a sea of red ink.I hope we have asked the Bank of Japan…

Blog Post by Brad W. Setser Follow the Money