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December 18, 2018

United States
Trump’s Trade War With China Makes Russia Great Again

“Tariffs will make our country much richer than it is today,” President Trump tweeted in August. So far, there’s not much evidence of that. As the left-hand graphic above shows, U.S. exports to C…

Trump’s Trade War With China Makes Russia Great Again

July 8, 2010

Palestinian Territories
Benjamin Netanyahu

Related Readings: 'Critical' Moment for Obama, Netanyahu Interview with Robert Danin Remarks by President Obama and Prime Minister Netanyahu of Israel  

November 20, 2018

United States
The Fed Is Tightening More Than It Realizes

Before the 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers, the Fed’s balance sheet stood at $925 billion—mostly U.S. Treasury securities. After 59 months of asset purchases to push down longer-term interest ra…

The Fed Is Tightening More Than It Realizes

December 5, 2018

Emerging Markets
What’s in Store for Emerging Markets?

Market pressure on Turkey and Argentina has abated a bit, thanks to a large IMF program that funds Argentina for another year and the apparent ability of Turkey’s banks to roll over a large share of …

What’s in Store for Emerging Markets?

November 9, 2018

China
Foreign Capital Has Been Propping Up China’s Currency. Here’s What Happens When It Leaves.

“I think China’s manipulating their currency, absolutely,” President Trump said back in August. Yet the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) was, and has been, intervening to keep the RMB up, and not to…

Foreign Capital Has Been Propping Up China’s Currency. Here’s What Happens When It Leaves.

October 30, 2018

Economics
The Fed Should End Forward Guidance

In the Wall Street Journal earlier this month, we examined the change over time in the market reaction to Fed “forward guidance” on future interest rates. During the crisis, with the Fed’s policy…

The Fed Should End Forward Guidance

October 18, 2018

China
With Growth Sagging, China Shifts Back to Socialism

“Deleveraging at State-Owned Enterprises,” said Chinese president Xi Jinping back in July 2017, “is of the utmost importance.” Fast forward to today, and the sentiment rings hollow. With growt…

With Growth Sagging, China Shifts Back to Socialism

December 12, 2018

Elections and Voting
Ten Elections to Watch in 2019

Millions of people around the world voted in 2018. Russian President Vladimir Putin earned his fourth term in office, though the contest was far from free and fair. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Or…

elections 2019

September 18, 2018

United States
U.S. Housing-Market Trends Suggest Recession Around Election Time, 2020

Ten years ago, in September 2008, plunging home prices pushed Lehman Brothers into bankruptcy, fueling a financial crisis that sent the United States, and much of the world, into a deep recession…

U.S. Housing-Market Trends Suggest Recession Around Election Time, 2020

September 6, 2018

Trade
Trump’s Trade War Is Hitting U.S. and China Stocks Equally

“Tariffs are working far better than anyone ever anticipated,” President Trump tweeted on August 4. “China market has dropped 27% in last 4 months.” The president’s numbers are off—China’s sto…

Trump’s Trade War Is Hitting U.S. and China Stocks Equally