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December 13, 2005

United States
Tomorrow’s US trade data …

should be interesting.   I'll miss the actual release though; I won't be back to my desk until later in the day. The number to watch, at least in my view: non-oil imports.   They have not been growin…

January 5, 2006

China
Chinese Sterilization Watch

Three things to watch closely in 2006:The size of China's reserve increase.   Some say it is falling back from its recent $20 b or so monthly pace.  I am not convinced.   The amount of sterilization …

January 11, 2006

China
China’s December trade

The most impressive part of China's most recent trade data:  18% y/y growth in December exports.  That pushed China's monthly exports up to $75.4 billion, and laid the basis for a $11 billion monthly…

January 25, 2006

China
Chart envy. China’s goods exports v. US goods exports

Every now and again, I run a across a chart that is so good that I really, really wish I had thought to do it myself. James Pressler of Northern Trust's chart comparing Chinese goods exports v. US go…

February 6, 2006

China
China reserve watch

I often launch into rants triggered by statements about China's reserve growth - and about hot money flows - that seem to be based entirely on the reported increase on China's reserves. My beef?  Chi…

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