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December 19, 2005

China
The Chinese conundrum: External (financial) strength, domestic (financial) weakness

I disagree with Michael Mandel on the US current account deficit - I think it is a concern, he doesn't.  We also disagree on the US fiscal deficit.   He doesn't think it is a big problem; I disagree…

January 5, 2006

China
Chinese Sterilization Watch

Three things to watch closely in 2006:The size of China's reserve increase.   Some say it is falling back from its recent $20 b or so monthly pace.  I am not convinced.   The amount of sterilization …

January 6, 2006

Monetary Policy
Read Andrew Balls and Geoff Dyer on Chinese reserve management

I strongly recommend the latest by Balls (in DC) and Dyer (in Shanghai). It covers both sides of the "does China's reserve management matter" debate.  But it gets two key points absolutely right: Chi…

February 22, 2006

United States
Shrinking dark matter watch

Or maybe shifting dark matter watch. Via Barry Ritholtz comes news that increasing US investment (according to Mandel) in one key intangible asset - US brands - may be yielding diminishing returns.  …

February 25, 2006

China
Is China’s peg creating more problems than benefits for China?

 Stephen "current account deficits don't matter, at least not in the dollar zone" Jen is starting to sound a bit like Brad "Doom and Gloom caucus, trade deficit division" Setser. At least on China's …