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Africa in Transition

Michelle Gavin, Ebenezer Obadare, and other experts track political and security developments across sub-Saharan Africa.

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Nigeria's President Bola Tinubu waves to a crowd as he takes the traditional ride on top of a ceremonial vehicle, after his swearing-in ceremony in Abuja, Nigeria on May 29, 2023.
Nigeria's President Bola Tinubu waves to a crowd as he takes the traditional ride on top of a ceremonial vehicle, after his swearing-in ceremony in Abuja, Nigeria on May 29, 2023. REUTERS/Temilade Adelaja
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Tinubu’s Turn

by Ebenezer Obadare May 30, 2023

Up against the wall, Tinubu will need his famed political savvy—and more—to stanch rising discontent in Nigeria.    Read More

Nigeria
Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: May 13-19
This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger from May 13 to May 19, 2023. 
Blog Post by CFR Africa Program May 25, 2023 Africa in Transition
Nigeria
Why Buhari Failed
When Nigerians needed him to deliver, President Muhammadu Buhari fell short.
Blog Post by Ebenezer Obadare May 22, 2023 Africa in Transition
Nigeria
Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: May 6-12
This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger from May 6 to May 12, 2023. 
Blog Post by CFR Africa Program May 18, 2023 Africa in Transition
  • Nigeria
    An Epidemic of Lawlessness
    Rising vigilantism in Nigeria reflects public cynicism about law enforcement and the judicial system.
    Blog Post by Ebenezer Obadare May 17, 2023 Africa in Transition
  • South Africa
    Facing Reality on South Africa
    Walking on eggshells with South Africa only obscures an increasingly discordant U.S.-South Africa relationship.
    Blog Post by Michelle Gavin May 16, 2023 Africa in Transition
  • Sudan
    Sudan’s Two Truths
    Amidst a flurry of international voices working to mediate the crisis in Sudan, the United States must not allow Sudanese civil society to be drowned out.  
    Blog Post by Michelle Gavin May 10, 2023 Africa Program
  • Nigeria
    Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: April 29-May 5
    This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger from April 29 to May 5, 2023.   
    Blog Post by CFR Africa Program May 9, 2023 Africa in Transition
  • Ethiopia
    Ethiopia's Mixed Signals
    International re-engagement and new peace talks point in a positive direction, but multiple indicators point to fragility and risk.
    Blog Post by Michelle Gavin May 3, 2023 Africa in Transition
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
    A “New Scramble for Africa"?
    When a phraseology says more about its users than the reality it purports to describe.  
    Blog Post by Ebenezer Obadare May 2, 2023 Africa in Transition
  • Nigeria
    Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: April 15-21
    This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger from April 15 to April 21, 2023. 
    Blog Post by CFR Africa Program April 25, 2023 Africa in Transition