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Africa in Transition

Michelle Gavin, Ebenezer Obadare, and other experts track political and security developments across sub-Saharan Africa.

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Nigeria's President Bola Tinubu waves to a crowd as he takes the traditional ride on top of a ceremonial vehicle, after his swearing-in ceremony in Abuja, Nigeria on May 29, 2023.
Nigeria's President Bola Tinubu waves to a crowd as he takes the traditional ride on top of a ceremonial vehicle, after his swearing-in ceremony in Abuja, Nigeria on May 29, 2023. REUTERS/Temilade Adelaja

Tinubu’s Turn

Up against the wall, Tinubu will need his famed political savvy—and more—to stanch rising discontent in Nigeria.    Read More

Nigeria
Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: May 13-19
This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger from May 13 to May 19, 2023. 
Nigeria
Why Buhari Failed
When Nigerians needed him to deliver, President Muhammadu Buhari fell short.
Nigeria
Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: May 6-12
This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger from May 6 to May 12, 2023. 
  • Nigeria
    An Epidemic of Lawlessness
    Rising vigilantism in Nigeria reflects public cynicism about law enforcement and the judicial system.
  • South Africa
    Facing Reality on South Africa
    Walking on eggshells with South Africa only obscures an increasingly discordant U.S.-South Africa relationship.
  • Sudan
    Sudan’s Two Truths
    Amidst a flurry of international voices working to mediate the crisis in Sudan, the United States must not allow Sudanese civil society to be drowned out.  
  • Nigeria
    Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: April 29-May 5
    This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger from April 29 to May 5, 2023.   
  • Ethiopia
    Ethiopia's Mixed Signals
    International re-engagement and new peace talks point in a positive direction, but multiple indicators point to fragility and risk.
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
    A “New Scramble for Africa"?
    When a phraseology says more about its users than the reality it purports to describe.  
  • Nigeria
    Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: April 15-21
    This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger from April 15 to April 21, 2023.