Africa in Transition

John Campbell and Michelle Gavin track political and security developments across sub-Saharan Africa.

Latest Post

A family gathers around the grave where three family members shot dead by armed Fulani herdsmen are buried together, in Jos in Nigeria's Plateau state, on December 28, 2011. Afolabi Sotunde/Reuters

UPDATE: The Numbers Behind Sectarian Violence in Nigeria

This blog post has been updated with data for the entire calendar year 2018.  Has sectarian violence in the Middle Belt increased significantly in 2018? If so, has it eclipsed the Boko Haram conflict? On December 20, 2018, we published year-to-date data. Below we publish data for the entire year of 2018.  Read More

January 17, 2019

Zimbabwe Is in Crisis. Its President Is Sending His Thoughts and Prayers.

This week’s alarming developments in Zimbabwe have prompted a curious response from President Emmerson Mnangagwa. A massive popular protest against fuel price increases, fed by broader frustration with an economy crippled by a currency crisis and decades of mismanagement, tipped into violence as security forces responded with a heavy hand, arresting over 600 people, leaving eight dead, and dozens injured.

Read More

January 16, 2019

Giant of Religion in Africa, Dr. Lamin Sanneh, Passes Away

The importance of religion to Africans is well known among those who study and follow the continent. Of particular interest has been the explosive and relatively recent growth of Christianity there. For example, the conventional wisdom is that in 1900, Christians in what is now Nigeria were perhaps 2 percent of the population. Now, they are said to comprise roughly half of a population of over 200 million.

Read More

January 15, 2019

Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: January 5–11

Below is a visualization and description of some of the most significant incidents of political violence in Nigeria from January 4 to 10, 2019. This update also represents violence related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger. These incidents will be included in the Nigeria Security Tracker.  

Read More