Africa in Transition

John Campbell and Michelle Gavin track political and security developments across sub-Saharan Africa.

Latest Post

Edgar Lungu, President of Zambia, arrives for the opening of the 32nd Ordinary Session of the Assembly of the Heads of State and the Government of the African Union (AU) in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia on February 10, 2019. Tiksa Negeri/Reuters

Warning Signs Appear Ahead of Zambian Elections

The backdrop to the current Zambian election cycle is far from an environment conducive to debating solutions for the serious challenges Zambians face. Read More

Nnamdi Kanu’s Trial Turns Up Pressure on Nigerian Government
The trial of Mazi Nnamdi Kanu, the leader of the Indigenous People of Biafra, could have important implications for the security of Nigeria.
South Africa
South Africa’s Biovac Strikes Deal to Make COVID-19 Vaccine
A "fill and finish" agreement between Pfizer and Biovac, a South African company, has its limitations and critics, but is nonetheless a step forward in securing COVID-19 vaccines for the African continent.
Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: July 17–23
This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger from July 17 to July 23, 2021.
  • Ethiopia
    Risks Grow as Tigray Conflict Enters New Phase
    The conflict in the Tigray region of Ethiopia, far from over following the federal government's declaration of a ceasefire and Tigrayan fighters' capture of Mekelle, is entering an anxious new phase.
  • Nigeria
    Jihadis Claim to be Uniting in Northeast Nigeria
    The death of Boko Haram leader Abubakar Shekau could lead to a more unified jihadi insurgency in northeast Nigeria.
  • Democratic Republic of Congo
    Political Uncertainty in DRC Highlights Need for Sustained Outside Attention
    In the Democratic Republic of Congo, opaque dealmaking facilitated the transfer of power from Joseph Kabila to Felix Tshisekedi. It is not too early for policymakers to encourage a more democratic process in 2023.
  • Nigeria
    Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: July 10–16
    This update represents violence in Nigeria and related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger from July 10 to July 16, 2021.
  • South Africa
    South Africa Sees the Best of Times and the Worst of Times
    The jailing of former President Jacob Zuma has exposed both the strengths and the shortcomings of the system of governance put in place following South Africa's 1994 transition from apartheid to non-racial democracy.
  • West Africa
    French President Macron Expands on Sahel Drawdown Plan
    French President Emmanuel Macron's decision to end Operation Barkhane, the French mission to fight jihadism in the Sahel, bears some resemblance to the ongoing removal of American troops from Afghanistan.
  • Nigeria
    T.B. Joshua: A Preacher Who Held Outsized Influence in Nigeria and Africa
    Prophet T.B. Joshua, who died aged fifty-seven in Lagos in June and was buried last Friday, is an example of an African religious leader who, within his own country, was probably more influential than any political figure.