Africa in Transition

John Campbell and Michelle Gavin track political and security developments across sub-Saharan Africa.

Latest Post

Nigeria Security Tracker Weekly Update: January 5–11

Below is a visualization and description of some of the most significant incidents of political violence in Nigeria from January 4 to 10, 2019. This update also represents violence related to Boko Haram in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger. These incidents will be included in the Nigeria Security Tracker.   Read More

January 14, 2019

Democratic Republic of Congo
Accountability Lacking in Congo Election Debate

The Democratic Republic of the Congo’s complicated and long-delayed elections ended with a surprise twist. Most of those riveted by the middle-of-the-night announcement of results had two likely outcomes in mind. Perhaps the less-than-independent electoral commission would announce that incumbent President Joseph Kabila’s handpicked successor had won—an outcome that would be fraudulent given his lack of popularity—but not surprising in a repressive and corrupt system.

Read More

January 11, 2019

South Africa
Reconciling the South African Military’s Mission With Its Budget

Todd Johnson has written in the Daily Maverick an insightful oped on the mismatch between what the government asks and expects the South African National Defense Forces (SANDF) to do and the amount of money allocated to them. The SANDF budget declined again for this fiscal year and stands at around 1 percent of GDP. (By contrast, the budget for education is just under 5 percent of GDP.) 

Read More

January 10, 2019

David Pilling's African Year in Review

David Pilling has written a review of what he sees as some of the most important African events of 2018 for the Financial Times, a highly influential paper with respect to Western perspectives of Africa, published in London.

Read More