Blogs

Africa in Transition

Michelle Gavin, Ebenezer Obadare, and other experts track political and security developments across sub-Saharan Africa.

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Ugandan Presidential candidate Robert Kyagulanyi, also known as Bobi Wine, of the National Unity Platform party, addresses his supporters during a campaign rally ahead of the general elections in Kampala, Uganda on December 15, 2025.
Ugandan Presidential candidate Robert Kyagulanyi, also known as Bobi Wine, of the National Unity Platform party, addresses his supporters during a campaign rally ahead of the general elections in Kampala, Uganda on December 15, 2025. Abubaker Lubowa/REUTERS

A Senseless Election

Museveni's efforts to ensure an electoral victory will almost certainly be successful, but will only exacerbate simmering resentment.

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Senegal
Debt Drives a Wedge in Senegal
Frustrations rise as newly-public debt threatens PASTEF’s agenda and creates a rift between its two leaders.
Benin
Postcard From Cotonou
Foiled or not, the attempted military takeover in Benin bodes ill for political stability in West Africa.
Democratic Republic of Congo
Ceremonial Foreign Policy
In shallowly engaging with Kinshasa and Kigali, Washington does little to promote peace and risks insulating leaders from accountability.
  • Tanzania
    Protest and Crackdown in Tanzania
    A farcical election and brutal state violence make Tanzania the latest example of a government not fit for purpose.
  • Nigeria
    Religion and the Nigerian Crisis
    The question is not whether contemporary violence in northern Nigeria is motivated by religion; the real question is why the commentariat is loath to admit it.
  • Nigeria
    A Concerning Standoff
    President Trump is right to draw attention to the plight of victims of Islamist terror in Nigeria, but a unilateral invasion of the country will be counterproductive.
  • Politics and Government
    Conduct Unbecoming
    In continuing to express a desire to run for an unconstitutional third term, President Trump belittles the office and erodes America’s moral authority abroad.
  • Sudan
    Shelling, Drones, and Hunger in El Fasher
    Regional and international actors should approach the crisis in Sudan with the urgency it demands. 
  • Cameroon
    Cameroon at an Inflection Point
    Regardless of who is announced as the winner in this month’s election, change is coming for Cameroon.
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
    Transactionalism Tested
    The United States’ hastily established third country deportation deals are chaotic and counterproductive.