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February 22, 2018

China
Electric trucks are shown at BYD headquarters in Shenzhen, China May 25, 2016. China’s Coming Challenge to the U.S. Petro-Economy

U.S. oil production is set to surpass its all-time record monthly high (first set in 1970), and U.S. liquefied natural gas exports are roaring ahead, with 800 billion cubic feet already shipped since…

February 22, 2018

Puerto Rico
Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Large Positive Growth Shock? Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Large Positive Growth Shock?

Puerto Rico’s latest fiscal plan appears to use a best case scenario as its base case. It consequently doesn’t provide a realistic benchmark for evaluating Puerto Rico’s long-run capacity to pay.

February 1, 2018

U.S. Foreign Policy
The U.S. military's Joint Chiefs of Staff listen to U.S. President Donald Trump's State of the Union address to a joint session of the U.S. Congress on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., January 30, 2018 The State of the Union and the Dangerous Turn in the United States’ North Korea Policy

President Trump’s State of the Union speech signaled the White House’s dangerous and growing fixation on using maximum pressure alone to denuclearize North Korea. But the soundest way to resolve the …

February 1, 2018

Mexico
Mexico's President Enrique Pena Nieto stands during the promulgation of the anti-corruption laws at the National Palace in Mexico City, Mexico July 18, 2016. Mexico's Voters Have Bigger Problems Than Trump

United States institutions have led the charge against corruption and corporate malfeasance in Mexico. But they can’t replace a working homegrown legal system. For all the strides Mexico has made in …

January 26, 2018

United States
Trump at Davos Trump at Davos: Nationalism, Globalism, and American Sovereignty

Though declaring the United States "open for business," President Trump affirmed his preference for bilateral trade. And while trying to reassure the world that "America First does not mean America a…

January 23, 2018

Immigration and Migration
 African migrant holds a European Union flag Making Migration Work

The UN is right to underscore the benefits of broad-based international cooperation on migration, particularly regarding measures that could, over time, reduce migrant flows by improving conditions i…

January 23, 2018

Venezuela
The corporate logo of the state oil company PDVSA is seen at a gas station in Caracas, Venezuela December 1, 2017. How Much Worse Can it Get for Venezuela’s State Oil Firm PDVSA?

Venezuela’s latest attempt to raise capital by issuing a cryptocurrency, the petro, linked allegedly to its Orinoco oil reserves is problematical on so many levels, it is hard to know how to comment …

January 16, 2018

China
People arrive at Tiananmen Square for a flag-raising ceremony during smog after a red alert was issued for heavy air pollution in Beijing, China, December 20, 2016. How Beijing Addresses Its Air Pollution Problem

Back in 2013, China experienced its worst smog outbreak since 1961. At some point in January, the Air Quality Index (AQI) readings in Beijing were far beyond the levels health officials deemed extrem…

January 16, 2018

Renewable Energy
Wind turbines stand above the plains north of Amarillo, Texas, U.S., March 14, 2017. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson Clean Energy Might Reduce Global Warming, But What Will It Do to Geopolitics?

This post is co-written by Sagatom Saha, Fulbright Fellow in Ukraine and Visiting Fellow at the Dixi Group. Read Varun Sivaram and Sagatom Saha’s new book chapter, “The Geopolitical Implications of a…

January 16, 2018

Egypt
BP01162018 Is War About to Break Out in the Horn of Africa? Will the West Even Notice?

Egypt, Sudan, and Ethiopia are close to armed conflict over a Nile dam project; so far the United States is ignoring them.