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February 16, 2018

North Korea
KCNA Avoiding War With North Korea

The U.S. military is prepared for a number of contingencies with regard to North Korea, but the best path forward is diplomacy aimed at denuclearization.

February 13, 2018

South Africa
South-Africa-President-Zuma-Resign-No-Confidence Timeline: Zuma's Departure Draws Nearer

The timeline indicates that the ANC “recalled” Zuma (directed him to resign the presidency) on February 13, and that he has refused. Now he faces a vote of no-confidence in parliament or possible impeachment.

February 12, 2018

Immigration and Migration
A U.S. Border Patrol agent keeps watch along the fence next to the U.S.-Mexican border in Calexico, California, February 2017. The U.S. Immigration Debate

Comprehensive immigration reform has eluded Congress for years, moving controversial policy decisions into the executive and judicial branches of government.

February 12, 2018

Intelligence
CFS Leitrim The Intelligence Collection Implications of the CLOUD Act

The CLOUD Act is supposed to help foreign law enforcement investigate crime. It could also help foreign countries spy on each other. 

February 9, 2018

South Africa
South-Africa-Zuma-Resign-Last-Week-President Timeline: Opposition Grows as Zuma Remains in Office

The impending resignation of Jacob Zuma as president of South Africa was not necessarily unexpected following the defeat of his preferred candidate in the African National Congress’s (ANC) elections for party leader. However, it is happening more quickly than many observers predicted, including this one.

February 8, 2018

Sub-Saharan Africa
Sierra-Leone-Kamajors-Vigilante-Counterinsurgency-Africa Podcast: Vigilante Groups and Countering Insurgencies in Africa

Vigilante groups usually arise in weak states with deteriorating security situations in which locals feel compelled to take their security into their own hands. The state will often try to co-opt these militias, who are afforded a level of legitimacy in their communities that the military is not, at least initially, and thus have a distinct advantage in counterinsurgency operations.

February 8, 2018

Turkey
Erdogan General Erdogan’s First War

Turkey’s Islamist president is the first civilian with control over his country’s military—and you can tell by the results.

February 7, 2018

Kenya
Kenya-Crackdown-Kenyatta-Odinga-Inauguration-Election Kenya Enters Dangerous Territory

The Kenyatta administration has transformed an act in Odinga’s political theater into a challenge to the legitimacy of the Kenyatta administration.

February 6, 2018

Olympics
East Germany was a perennial powerhouse at winter games, including the 1988 Calgary games where it won gold and bronze in the women’s 1000 meters Speedskating event. The Mixed Record of Sports Diplomacy

While sports may temporarily transcend divisions in society, events like the Olympics rarely serve to advance countries’ diplomatic aims.

February 2, 2018

Cybersecurity
Phil Cyber Week in Review: February 2, 2018

This week: connecting the unconnected, finding secret military bases online, a government-run 5G network, and cybersecurity guidance for the United Kingdom.