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February 23, 2018

Russia
Sputnik/Mikhail Klimentyev/Kremlin/Reuters Cold War II

A quarter-century after the end of the Cold War, we unexpectedly find ourselves in a second one. The United States and its partners have a large stake in greater Russian restraint while Vladimir Puti…

February 23, 2018

South Africa
South-Africa-President-Ramaphosa-SONA The State of President Ramaphosa’s Nation

The ascendancy of Cyril Ramaphosa to the presidency of South Africa has been greeted with a mix of enthusiasm, relief, and skepticism. It comes as South Africa prepares to celebrate the centenary of Nelson Mandela’s birth and it is worth remembering that Ramaphosa was Mandela’s first choice as his deputy.

February 21, 2018

Asia
Trump_Vietnam_11.12.2017 The Trump Administration’s “Free and Open Indo-Pacific”: A Solid Idea, but Difficult to Pull Off

After declaring the “rebalance” to Asia dead, the Trump administration’s “Free and Open Indo-Pacific” strategy appears to be pursing similar goals: containing China’s ability to dominate Asia and bol…

February 22, 2018

China
Electric trucks are shown at BYD headquarters in Shenzhen, China May 25, 2016. China’s Coming Challenge to the U.S. Petro-Economy

U.S. oil production is set to surpass its all-time record monthly high (first set in 1970), and U.S. liquefied natural gas exports are roaring ahead, with 800 billion cubic feet already shipped since…

February 22, 2018

Food and Water Security
Dry Cape Town dam Why Is Cape Town Drying Up?

A historic dry spell has severely affected Cape Town's water supply, and global climate patterns suggest that other cities may face the same fate.

February 22, 2018

Puerto Rico
Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Large Positive Growth Shock? Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Large Positive Growth Shock?

Puerto Rico’s latest fiscal plan appears to use a best case scenario as its base case. It consequently doesn’t provide a realistic benchmark for evaluating Puerto Rico’s long-run capacity to pay.

February 21, 2018

Global Governance
G7 informal group picture The Liberal World Order in the Shadow of America First

Recently I had the opportunity to sit down with Alan Alexandroff, director of the Global Summitry project at the University of Toronto’s Munk School of Global Affairs, to discuss the role of sovereig…

February 20, 2018

Southeast Asia
Pence_Widodo_4.20.2017 Shifting U.S.-Indonesia Relations to a Transactional Approach

The U.S.-Indonesia relationship has often disappointed. It’s time to rethink U.S.-Indonesia ties and try to achieve real security goals, rather than make bold plans for cooperation that never come to…

February 20, 2018

European Union
Macron Merkel Could Europe's New Data Protection Regulation Curb Online Disinformation?

European leaders are rushing to implement new laws to curb disinformation on social media. However, existing European data protection laws might actually make it harder for bad actors to spread fake …

February 16, 2018

United States
Mapping Capital Flows Into the U.S. Over the Last Thirty Years Mapping Capital Flows Into the U.S. Over the Last Thirty Years

Up until 2014, the growth in central bank dollar reserves closely mapped to the increase in U.S. net external debt. The past few years have been different: for the first time in a long time, yield-st…