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A graphical take on geoeconomics.

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How Trump Can Control the Fed

by Benn Steil and Elisabeth Harding November 18, 2024

Could President-elect Donald Trump end Fed independence on monetary policy? A legislative anomaly gives him a way.

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China
China’s Central Bank is Becoming the Developing World’s “Payday Lender”
With the developing world’s growing use of costly and opaque “payday loans” from China’s central bank, the IMF and World Bank need to demand far greater transparency from Beijing. 
Blog Post by Benn Steil and Elisabeth Harding October 22, 2024 Geo-Graphics
United States
Will a Worker Shortage Kill the U.S. Manufacturing Boom?
The United States is witnessing a boom in manufacturing investment, stimulated by massive government subsidies, but the skilled workforce necessary to support it is severely lacking.
Blog Post by Benn Steil and Elisabeth Harding September 30, 2024 Geo-Graphics
Greenberg Center for Geoeconomic Studies
Aging Will Hit China’s Economy Far Harder Than Is Recognized
Aging is not only shrinking the labor force but damaging productivity—and therefore per capita GDP growth.
Blog Post by Benn Steil and Elisabeth Harding August 28, 2024 Geo-Graphics
  • Economics
    Big Macs Show Dollar Hugely Overvalued, But “Mini Macs” Beg to Differ.
    Whereas the Economist magazine’s Big Mac currency index says the dollar is hugely overvalued, CFR’s “Mini Mac” index finds it slightly undervalued.
    Blog Post by Benn Steil and Elisabeth Harding August 12, 2024 Geo-Graphics
  • Economics
    Immigration Has Boosted Labor Force Participation, Helping Growth and Hastening Rate Cuts
    One factor boosting the case for an early Fed rate cut is the rise in the labor force participation rate—a rise driven by immigration.
    Blog Post by Benn Steil and Elisabeth Harding July 22, 2024 Geo-Graphics
  • Economics
    The Farm Legacy of Henry Wallace: Regressive Subsidies
    The era of massive government farm subsidies began in the early 1930s. It has favored the large and the rich ever since.
    Blog Post by Benn Steil and Elisabeth Harding June 10, 2024 Geo-Graphics
  • Economics
    For the First Time, the U.S. Is Spending More on Debt Interest than Defense
       
    Blog Post by Benn Steil and Elisabeth Harding May 23, 2024 Greenberg Center for Geoeconomic Studies
  • Economics
    China Has Become a Major Source of Sovereign Default Risk
       
    Blog Post by Benn Steil and Elisabeth Harding March 20, 2024 Geo-Graphics
  • Economics
    With a Soft Landing Looking Likely, the Dollar Falls on the CFR Mini Mac Index
       
    Blog Post by Benn Steil and Elisabeth Harding February 6, 2024 Geo-Graphics
  • Economics
    Fed Policy is Tighter Than it Looks, and is Set to Tighten Further
         
    Blog Post by Benn Steil and Elisabeth Harding January 30, 2024 Geo-Graphics