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May 7, 2018

Mexico
Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) presidential candidate Jose Antonio Meade waves after a meeting with the National Chamber of Commerce (CANACO) in Mexico City, Mexico April 19, 2018. Mexico’s Ruling Party Is a Dead Man Walking

Enrique Pena Nieto was supposed to be the Institutional Revolutionary Party's savior. But instead, the ruling party looks to lose in the upcoming elections with candidate Jose Antonio Meade. Yet the PRI's political model will live on in the form of MORENA's Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador.

April 13, 2018

Peru
A woman cleans a banner ahead of the eighth Summit of the Americas in Lima, Peru April 10, 2018. Trump's No-Show May Lift Summit From Swamp

President Trump's no-show means less drama and more space at Summit of the Americas for the main theme of corruption. 

April 5, 2018

Mexico
A union worker holds a placard as she protests outside Pemex headquarters to demand better contracts for technicians and other professionals, in Mexico City, Mexico November 7, 2017. The placard reads: "The oil is from the nation" Mexico's Election Could Leave Its Economy in Limbo — No Matter Who Wins

Pena Nieto’s structural reforms in Mexico have yielded a few quick gains, mostly in telecom prices and access to credit, but most of the benefits are yet to come. However many may not, as justified frustration with the government’s fiscal mismanagement and corruption leads voters to turn away from a more open economic model before the advantages appear.

April 2, 2018

Venezuela
O'Neil speaks at the Inter-American Dialogue Venezuela’s Migration Crisis

Yesterday I joined Dany Bahar, David M. Rubenstein Fellow at the Brookings Institution, and Francisca Vigaud-Walsh, Senior Advocate for Women and Girls at Refugees International, at the Inter-America…

August 24, 2017

Venezuela
NAFTA agreement has helped produce over 1.8 million new jobs for Canadians (this is the first 5 years of NAFTAs existence Shannon O'Neil on Bloomberg Surveillance

Last Thursday, I had the pleasure of joining David Gura and Francine Lacqua on Bloomberg Surveillance to discuss Venezuela and Mexico. You can watch the full show here, with the Venezuela portion fro…

May 7, 2018

Emerging Markets
Should We Fear a Tighten Tantrum? Should We Fear a Tighten Tantrum?

Back in May 2013, then-Fed Chair Ben Bernanke roiled emerging markets (EM) with the mere suggestion that the Fed might soon pare back its monthly asset purchases under so-called quantitative easi…

March 15, 2018

Brazil
Argentine President Mauricio Macri (L) and his Brazilian counterpart Michel Temer exchange documents after a meeting to discuss closer trade cooperation at the Planalto Palace in Brasilia, Brazil February 7, 2017. Trump Creates a Trade Opening for Brazil

Brazil, one of the world’s most closed economies, would benefit from trade. Brazil can attain a higher GDP and become globally competitive through trade and opening up its economy. Given Trump and the U.S. protectionist pullback, opening to the world could, for once in Brazil, be politically popular in this election year.

April 11, 2018

Peru
Martin Vizcarra speaks after being sworn in as Peru's President at the congress building in Lima, Peru, March 23, 2018. Can Peru’s President Chart a New Path?

President Martín Vizcarra could be the man to break the thirty-year long corruption chain, but first, he must master the nearly impossible political terrain that undid his predecessor.

March 1, 2018

NAFTA
Canada's Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland speaks before the start of a trilateral meeting with Mexico's Economy Minister Ildefonso Guajardo and U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer. NAFTA's Biggest Challenge May Come After the Deal

Elections in Mexico and the U.S. could spell doom for any new agreement.

February 27, 2018

Venezuela
People cross over the Simon Bolivar international bridge to Colombia from San Antonio del Tachira. Venezuela's Neighbors Can't Wait for Uncle Sam

Venezuela’s refugee crisis is metastasizing. According to the United Nations, 5,000 Venezuelans have fled to Curacao, 20,000 to Aruba, 30,000 to Brazil, 40,000 to Trinidad and Tobago, and more than 6…