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February 22, 2018

Puerto Rico
Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Positive Growth Shock for Puerto Rico? Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Positive Growth Shock for Puerto Rico?

Puerto Rico’s latest fiscal plan appears to use a best case scenario as its base case. It consequently doesn’t provide a realistic benchmark for evaluating Puerto Rico’s long-run capacity to pay.

February 23, 2018

Russia
Sputnik/Mikhail Klimentyev/Kremlin/Reuters Cold War II

A quarter-century after the end of the Cold War, we unexpectedly find ourselves in a second one. The United States and its partners have a large stake in greater Russian restraint while Vladimir Puti…

January 25, 2018

Diplomacy and International Institutions
Carlos Barria/Reuters What the Global Elite Can Learn From Donald Trump

Those attending Davos would be wise to realize that some of Trump’s populist message may be right. Likewise, the president must recognize that “making America great again” requires the U.S. to shape …

December 20, 2017

Economics
The Phillips Curve Is Dead. Long Live the Phillips Curve! The Phillips Curve Is Dead. Long Live the Phillips Curve!

“I am confident that the apparent disconnect between growth and inflation is a temporary phenomenon,” said ECB executive board member Yves Mersche on December 6. The “deep downturn” in the Eurozo…

November 6, 2017

Japan
Abenomics and the Long Legacy of the Consumption Tax Hike Abenomics and the Long Legacy of the Consumption Tax Hike

Abe's consumption tax hike stalled what until then had been a demand led recovery, leading to a three year period with no growth in domestic demand. 

November 1, 2017

North Korea
U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping attend the bilateral meeting at the G20 leaders summit in Hamburg, Germany July 8, 2017. A Grand Bargain for the Long Game on the Korean Peninsula

Patricia Kim is the Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. Despite President Trump’s threats to destroy North Korea if necessary, and recent steps by Beijing to reduc…

December 4, 2017

Russian Hacking and Disinformation
Richard Burr Live Today: A Conversation with Richard Burr

Today, the Council on Foreign Relations is hosting a conversation with Senator Richard Burr, chairman of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence. Senator Burr will discuss Russia's cyber capabili…

December 6, 2017

United States
Play Burr A Conversation with Richard Burr

This is the keynote session of the Hacked Elections, Online Influence Operations, and the Threat to Democracy symposium. 

February 22, 2018

Food and Water Security
Dry Cape Town dam Why Is Cape Town Drying Up?

A historic dry spell has severely affected Cape Town's water supply, and global climate patterns suggest that other cities may face the same fate.

February 21, 2018

Syria
Syrian refugees The Mom's Story I Could Not Forget

Some stories do not leave you. You cannot forget them long after you tell them. And you wonder, often, how they end. Here is one such story. It doesn't yet have an ending, but it is no longer wher…