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November 6, 2019

Election 2020
The President’s Inbox: Should the United States Do Less Overseas?

The latest episode of The President’s Inbox is now live. The Iowa caucuses, the formal start of the presidential nominating process, are just three months away. Given that elections matter for U.S. f…

An American flag flies on the edge of the Atlantic ocean.

November 1, 2019

Cybersecurity
Cyber Week in Review: November 1, 2019

Russia targets African countries on Facebook with new disinformation tactics; WhatsApp sues NSO Group after 1,400 users compromised with spyware; China throws support behind blockchain with digital y…

A man poses with a smartphone in front of displayed Whatsapp logo in this illustration

October 15, 2019

Taiwan
What Does Taiwan’s Hidden Forward Book Mean for Taiwan’s Financial Stability and U.S. Currency Policy?

Taiwan's central bank—and Taiwanese households—have taken on an awful lot of foreign currency risk over the years …

treasury fx intervention taiwan 4

October 11, 2019

Election 2020
Foreign Policy Roundup: Syrian Kurds, the NBA, and LGBTQ Rights

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential challengers are saying about foreign policy on the campaign trail.

People flee Turkish air strikes in Ras al Ain along the northern Syrian border.

October 8, 2019

Taiwan
Could Taiwan’s Commercial Banks Cover the Lifers' Hedging Need? (Part 4)

Who is on the other side of the massive ($250 billion) hedging need of Taiwan's life insurance industry? The local banking system covers at most a quarter of the life insurers hedging need, and forei…

fig 3

October 3, 2019

Taiwan
Shadow FX Intervention in Taiwan: Solving a 100+ Billion Dollar Enigma (Part 1)

Taiwan’s central bank, unlike most central banks, doesn’t disclose its position in FX derivatives. It really should. There is good reason to think its undisclosed exposure is quite substantial.   …

A Taiwan dollar note is seen in this illustration photo May 31, 2017.

September 20, 2019

Nigeria
Boko Haram Is Back in the Media Spotlight, but It Was Never Really Gone

President Muhammadu Buhari of Nigeria, on a number of occasions, has stated that Boko Haram is “technically defeated.” The Council’s Nigeria Security Tracker indicates otherwise, and on September 14, the New York Times published an extensive story on the resurgence of Boko Haram. It was accompanied by three pictures on a back page, including one of a child’s scar from an injury sustained during a suicide bombing.

Women and children sit outside the smoke-blackened remains of a building.

September 17, 2019

Election 2020
Meet Joe Biden, Democratic Presidential Candidate

Is the third time really the charm? Former Vice President Joe Biden certainly hopes so. He first threw his hat in the ring for the 1988 Democratic nomination but ended up dropping out of the race mon…

Joe Biden

September 13, 2019

United States
John Bolton’s Successor Will Struggle to Satisfy Donald Trump

Diplomacy could well come to occupy center stage for a president who relishes summitry.

Trump_John Bolton

September 10, 2019

Cybersecurity
Hey LinkedIn, Sean Brown Does Not Work at CFR: Identity, Fake Accounts, and Foreign Intelligence

A fake LinkedIn account of a Sean Brown claiming to work for CFR highlights the issues with fake accounts.

Hey LinkedIn, Sean Brown Does Not Work at CFR: Identity, Fake Accounts, and Foreign Intelligence