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June 24, 2015

Europe and Eurasia
A Full Greek IMF-Debt Default Would Be Four Times All Previous Defaults Combined

Since the IMF’s launch in 1946, 27 countries have had overdue financial obligations of 6 months or more.*  But the amounts involved have always been small, never exceeding SDR 1bn ($1.4bn). This …

A Full Greek IMF-Debt Default Would Be Four Times All Previous Defaults Combined

November 20, 2014

Europe and Eurasia
Bank Valuations Tank as ECB Flubs Its Stress Test

Low market valuations (i.e., price to book ratios) for euro area banks reflect market concerns over their capital cushions, opined the Bank of England just prior to last-year’s launch of the ECB s…

Bank Valuations Tank as ECB Flubs Its Stress Test

October 10, 2014

Monetary Policy
Are Fed Doves Mucking with Future Unemployment Estimates to Justify Dovishness?

Do Fed doves and hawks get their aviary classifications based on their cold, hard analysis of data, or is it the reverse – do they select data points to justify their dovish or hawkish perspective…

Are Fed Doves Mucking with Future Unemployment Estimates to Justify Dovishness?

April 30, 2014

Europe and Eurasia
French Banks Play Russian Roulette

In the fourth quarter of last year, with tensions rising between Russia and the West over Ukraine, U.S., German, UK, and Swedish banks aggressively dialed down their credit exposures in Russia.  B…

French Banks Play Russian Roulette

March 28, 2014

Europe and Eurasia
IMF Reform and Ukraine: Amateur Hour for U.S. Economic Diplomacy

In our March 5 post, we argued that the Obama administration linking Ukraine aid to IMF reform was disingenuous and counterproductive.  We were right: the legislation failed, congressional Republi…

IMF Reform and Ukraine: Amateur Hour for U.S. Economic Diplomacy