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September 13, 2017

South Africa
'Don't Underestimate Zuma'

For those in South Africa and elsewhere devoted to the rule of law, the supremacy of constitutional institutions over individual personalities, and repelled by corruption, South Africa’s President Ja…

Dlamini-Zuma-ANC-Jacob-Leadership-President

November 7, 2011

Russia
Don’t Bet on the BRICs

(L-R) India's Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, Russia's President Dmitry Medvedev, China's President Hu Jintao, Brazil's President Dilma Rousseff and South African President Jacob Z…

(L-R) India’s Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, Russia’s President Dmitry Medvedev, China’s President Hu Jintao, Brazil’s President Dilma Rousseff and South African President Jacob Zuma attend a joint news conference at the BRICS Leaders Meeting in Sanya, Hainan province April 14, 2011.

July 18, 2013

Monetary Policy
Mortgages and Monetary Policy Don’t Mix

From the beginning of 2009 through this past May 21st, the Fed amassed a portfolio of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) valued at $1.2 trillion.  Over this period, the average 30-year fixed mortgag…

Mortgages and Monetary Policy Don’t Mix

May 29, 2007

United States
The PBoC - and the Economist - argue that exchange rates don’t matter, but look at this graph …

China's Vice-Premier Wu Yi, the Economist, Stephen Roach,  William Pesek and no doubt a host of others all have argued that the US trade deficit with China has nothing to do with the RMB/ dollar…

us_trade_deficit_changes_since_02

August 14, 2006

United States
I don’t think Stephen Jen can argue that I have been inconsistent.

Wrong, maybe, but not inconsistent.Stephen Jen notes that China is not the only country with an enormous current account surplus that intervenes massively in the foreign exchange market – “If…

December 8, 2010

United States
I Still Don’t Get It

Sorry for the light posting recently - I am finishing up my book on Egyptian politics. But I could not resist responding to  today’s headline on the settlements. Like I said a few weeks ago, I don’…

I Still Don’t Get It

March 15, 2017

China
Don’t Buy China’s Peace Plan for North Korea

In a matter of weeks, all of China’s fears have come to a head on the Korean Peninsula. At an airport in Malaysia in mid-February, the exiled half-brother of North Korea’s ruler was assassinated with…

RTSL0PZ

April 5, 2019

Americas
Venezuelan Remittances Don’t Just Save Lives

Sadly, they also help keep the country’s repressive regime in power.

Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro holds up a mock 100-bolivar bill depicting the president of the National Assembly Henry Ramos Allup, during a pro-government rally in Caracas, Venezuela December 17, 2016.

March 20, 2019

Algeria
Don’t Get Your Hopes Up About Algeria

The Middle East’s latest protests seem like the Arab Spring all over again. That’s no reason for optimism.

People take part in a protest demanding immediate political change in Algiers, Algeria March 12, 2019

October 18, 2019

U.S. Foreign Policy
Election 2020 Foreign Policy Roundup: The Democratic Debate, Trade Policy, and the Iran Nuclear Deal

Tuesday night’s debate allotted just twenty-two minutes to foreign policy. It’s doubtful the audience came away from that brief conversation with a deeper understanding of what the candidates hope to…

Democratic presidential candidate Senator Bernie Sanders, former Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Elizabeth Warren debate during the fourth U.S. Democratic presidential candidates 2020 election debate in Westerville, Ohio, U.S., October 15, 2019. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton