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May 7, 2012

Defense and Security
Hello, François Hollande: President of France

Streaks are made to be broken. After seventeen years on the outside looking in, a Socialist Party candidate has finally returned to the French presidency. François Hollande defeated Nicolas Sarkozy b…

Hollande-France-President-20120507

December 18, 2007

United States
Yes, Virginia, the world’s central banks are financing most of the US current account deficit (my rebuttal to Richard Iley)

Back in the summer of 2004, Nouriel Roubini and I published a paper arguing that large trade deficits implied a deteriorating US net international investment position and a deteriorating “income” bal…

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February 4, 2007

Financial Markets
The mechanics of the carry trade, revealed … (sort of)

Andrew Rozanov of State Street knows a thing or two about how official institutions manage their money (that is a big part of his current job) and a thing or two about Japan (he was based in Tokyo fo…

April 9, 2007

Monetary Policy
What have the world’s central banks been up to? The latest Treasury survey provides some clues

I suspect I am one of a very small number of people who eagerly awaits the publication of the Treasury’s annual survey for foreign portfolio investment.     Wall Street doesn’t find it particularly u…

September 17, 2007

Financial Markets
The first true twenty-first century financial crisis?

Larry Summers – picking up on a phrase perhaps first used by Michel Camdessus -- liked to call the Mexican crisis the first financial crisis of the 21st century.   Mexico’s decision to exhaust its re…