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August 5, 2005

Capital Flows
China, the US and the geopolitics of oil

The CNOOC Unocal saga is over. But CNOOC's ambitions remain: Energy market experts now expect Cnooc, which is controlled by the Beijing government, to explore opportunities throughout the Asia-Pacifi…

June 11, 2007

Monetary Policy
“Asia’s importance in the bond market cannot be overstated”

That quote doesn't come from me -- but from someone with a bit more authority: Jim Caron, co-head of global interest rate strategy at Morgan Stanley (quoted by Michael MacKenzie in Monday's Financial…

central_bank_demand_quarters

June 23, 2017

U.S. Foreign Policy
You Might Have Missed: Academic Journals VI

This is the sixth blog post in this series. The previous five were published in February, July, and October 2015, and January and May 2016, and highlight earlier academic findings. This post was coau…

woman looks into a book

January 18, 2007

Financial Markets
Do lower oil prices mean the end of the saving glut?

That is question Justin Lahart raises in his Wall Street Journal column. His answer is a qualified yes.  I would answer with a qualified maybe.  Or maybe with a muted yes.   The oil exporters have sh…

December 4, 2006

Monetary Policy
What have Asian central banks been doing over the past few weeks?

Buying dollars to stem their currencies rise?Selling euro to keep the dollar share of their portfolio constant as the value of their existing holdings of euro rises?Or selling dollars to try to reduc…