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March 30, 2011

Middle East and North Africa
The Defection of Musa Kusa

Libya's Foreign Minister Musa Kusa addresses the foreign press in Tripoli on March 7, 2011. (Chris Helgren/Courtesy Reuters) On March 30, Libyan Foreign Minister Musa Kusa apparently defected. T…

Libya’s Foreign Minister Musa Kusa addresses the foreign press in Tripoli on March 7, 2011.

October 4, 2019

Nigeria
The Legacy of Nigeria's 1999 Transition to Democracy

Commentators, especially outside Nigeria, saw the elections of 2015 as an important milestone for the country’s democratic development breaking the pattern of rigged elections. However, could it be that it was the elections of 2011 that really broke the pattern, and the elections of 2015 merely restored it? Were in fact the elections of 2015 much better than those before and after? Did the political classes determine that Jonathan had to go, in part because of the deteriorating economy and security situation, but also understanding that the 1998–9 bargain struck between the south and the north be restored? Will the bargain survive in 2023? 

Obasanjo walks past a cheering crowd in a white robe.

July 16, 2019

Nigeria
The Post-Presidential Legacy of Nigeria’s Goodluck Jonathan

Former Nigerian President Goodluck Jonathan’s international reputation has improved since conceding the presidency in 2015. What does that say about democracy in the country?

Former Nigerian President Goodluck Jonathan speaks to the media as part of the National Democratic Institute's election monitoring delegation in Liberia on December 26, 2017.

August 21, 2019

Nigeria
Debt Servicing, Tax Revenue, and Oil in Nigeria

President Buhari is publicly asking the Federal Inland Revenue Service about its failure to meet tax-collecting targets since 2015. Nigerian Federal and state entities have borrowed so much money that debt service now consumes more than 70 percent of revenue, according to the Finance Ministry. 

Tunde Fowler sits and gestures in front of a FIRS logo during an interview.

March 12, 2019

Nigeria
Suspected Leadership Changes to IS-Backed Boko Haram Faction Continue

In September 2018, there were reports that Nur was murdered by his own faction because he was too “soft”, that he misappropriated ransom money, and even that he might have been open to a dialogue with the Nigerian government. In late February 2018, ISWA reportedly replaced al-Barnawi with Abu Abdullah Ibn Umar al-Barnawi.

Nigeria-Boko-Haram-Attack-Funeral

September 27, 2018

Nigeria
Obasanjo’s Costly Failed Third-Term Bid

Chidi Odinkalu and Ayisha Osori have published a book in Nigeria that says Obasanjo and his associates and supporters essentially stole $500 million to fund the incumbent’s efforts to amend the constitution so that he could run for a third term. The authors are both highly credible human rights lawyers.

Nigeria-Obasanjo-President-Third-Term-Yardua

July 3, 2018

Nigeria
Electricity Distribution Is Holding Nigeria Back

Electricity shortages significantly impede Nigeria’s economic growth. Even following reorganization and partial privatization, the national power company—formerly known as the National Electric Power Authority (NEPA) PLC—is still referred to by most Nigerians as “Never Expect Power Always, Please Light Candle.”

Nigeria-Electricity-Power-Diesel

August 22, 2017

Nigeria
President Buhari Returns Home

President Buhari returned to Nigeria on August 19 after over one-hundred days of medical leave in London. Various dignitaries gathered to greet him upon his arrival. The public aspect of President Bu…

Buhari-Osinbajo-Nigeria-Return

May 31, 2017

Nigeria
Nigerian Coup Rumors

President Muhammadu Buhari’s office has called on the Nigerian public to ignore rumors of a potential coup. Nigeria has a history of military coups, and the president’s extended medical absence in Lo…

Nigerian soldiers exit a court-martial hearing.

May 5, 2017

Nigeria
Nigerian Anxiety Grows over President Buhari’s Health

On May 3, President Muhammadu Buhari missed his third consecutive weekly cabinet meeting. He was also absent from Friday prayers on April 28 and his grandson’s wedding on April 29. On May 1, he did n…

President Muhammadu Buhari and Vice President Yemi Osinbajo.