What to Worry About in 2016

Tuesday, January 19, 2016
Speakers
Michael Moran

Managing Director of Global Risk Analysis, Control Risks

Paul B. Stares

General John W. Vessey Senior Fellow for Conflict Prevention and Director of the Center for Preventive Action, Council on Foreign Relations

Robert Kahn

Steven A. Tananbaum Senior Fellow for International Economics, Council on Foreign Relations

Presider
Carla Anne Robbins

Adjunct Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations

Center for Preventive Action and Conflict Risk Assessment and Monitoring

With war and humanitarian crises embroiling the Middle East and parts of Africa, the new year presents challenges for conflict prevention, mitigation, and response. Three leading conflict experts discussed potential and ongoing crises that may erupt or escalate in 2016, as well as their global political and economic implications. In keeping with the core mission of the Center for Preventive Action, this meeting evaluated the most worrisome sources of instability and conflict in 2016. The speakers discussed their respective organizations’ assessment of risks and potential crises for the new year.

Explore More on Conflict Prevention

United Kingdom

Moving Past the Troubles: The Future of Northern Ireland Peace
The Good Friday Agreement has dampened sectarian conflict and brought stability to Northern Ireland, but the peace deal has been challenged by Brexit-related border tensions that have thrown the region’s hard-won gains into doubt.

Backgrounder by Charles Landow and James McBride February 16, 2024

Nigeria

Nigeria Security Tracker
The Council on Foreign Relations' Nigeria Security Tracker was an effort to catalog and map political violence based on a weekly survey of Nigerian and international press. The last update to the tracker was July 1, 2023. The data presented included violent incidents related to political, economic, and social grievances directed at the state or other affiliated groups (or, conversely, the state employing violence to respond to those incidents.)

Tracker by Michelle Gavin July 1, 2023 Africa Program

Western Sahara

Five Questions on the Western Sahara Peace Process
The following interview is with Fatma El Mehdi, one of eight negotiators in the Western Sahara peace process and a leader in the Sahrawi community.

Post by Elena Ortiz July 20, 2021 Women Around the World

Top Stories on CFR

Ukraine

Toward a Settlement of the Russia-Ukraine War
To bring Russia to the negotiating table and end the war in Ukraine, Vladimir Putin needs to believe time is no longer on his side. Here's what the Trump administration needs to do to make that happen.

Article by Thomas Graham January 22, 2025

United States

Trump and the Future of the USMCA
President Trump has threatened new tariffs on all imports from Canada and Mexico. His trade plans threaten the future of the United States’ largest free trade agreement.

Expert Brief by Shannon K. O'Neil and Julia Huesa January 17, 2025

United States

U.S. Postwar Immigration Policy
Immigration has been an important element of U.S. economic and cultural vitality since the country’s founding. This interactive timeline outlines the evolution of U.S. immigration policy after World War II.

Timeline by Brianna Lee and Diana Roy January 21, 2025 Renewing America