Center for Preventive Action

Conflict Risk Assessment and Monitoring

Project Expert

Paul B. Stares

General John W. Vessey Senior Fellow for Conflict Prevention and Director of the Center for Preventive Action

About the Project

To help focus U.S. conflict prevention and crisis preparedness efforts, the Center for Preventive Action conducts an annual survey of foreign policy experts to assess which potential contingencies in the coming year deserve more attention and resources than others. The results are released in the Preventive Priorities Survey which ranks thirty plausible contingencies in order of their likelihood and potential impact. CPA also provides background information and up-to-date analysis of contingencies worldwide on its online interactive, the Global Conflict Tracker.

This project is made possible by the generous support of Carnegie Corporation of New York.

Publications

Conflict Prevention

U.S. foreign policy experts assess the likelihood and impact of thirty potential crises or conflicts around the world in the coming year in CFR's annual survey.

Conflict Prevention

Conflict Prevention

Global

Global

The intensification of the crisis in Iraq due to advances by the militant group the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) is the top conflict prevention priority for U.S. policymakers in 2015, according to leading experts who took part in the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) seventh annual Preventive Priorities Survey.

Conflict Prevention

United States

Spillover from Syria’s civil war and violence in Afghanistan as coalition forces draw down are among next year’s top conflict prevention priorities for U.S. policymakers, finds the annual Preventive Priorities Survey from the Council on Foreign Relations. The most urgent concerns also include terror attacks or cyberattacks on the United States, military strikes against Iran, and a crisis in North Korea.

Conflict Prevention

United States

Conflict Prevention

The Council on Foreign Relations’ fifth annual Preventive Priorities Survey ranks conflict prevention priorities based on their potential impact on U.S. interests and their likelihood of occurring in the coming year.

Conflict Prevention

Conflict Prevention

Events

Conflict Prevention

Panelists discuss the potential and ongoing crises that may erupt or escalate in 2018, as well as their global political implications.

Global

Experts discuss the global political implications of potential and ongoing crises that may erupt or escalate in 2017.

Global

Three leading conflict experts discussed potential and ongoing crises that may erupt or escalate in 2016, as well as their global political and economic implications.

Global

Three leading conflict experts discussed potential and ongoing crises that may erupt or escalate in 2016, as well as their global political and economic implications.

Global

Global

In keeping with the core mission of the Center for Preventive Action, this meeting evaluated the most worrisome sources of instability and conflict in 2015. The speakers discussed their respective organizations’ assessment of risks and potential crises for the new year.

Global

In keeping with the core mission of the Center for Preventive Action, this meeting evaluates the most worrisome sources of instability and conflict in 2014.

Conflict Prevention

Paul B. Stares, David F. Gordon, and Mark L. Schneider discuss conflicts that could break out or escalate in 2013.

Conflict Prevention

David F. Gordon, Mark L. Schneider, and Paul B. Stares discuss their respective organization's assessments of the risks and the most worrisome sources of instability and conflict in 2012.

More from this Program

 

Project

 

Project