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April 18, 2018

Human Rights
A woman from the Rohingya community from Myanmar cooks food outside her makeshift shelter in a camp in New Delhi, September 13, 2014. The Long Arc of Human Rights: A Case for Optimism

Drawing on decades of research into transnational civil society networks and international institutions, political scientist Kathryn Sikkink counters skeptics from the left and the right who have arg…

April 4, 2018

China
Soybeans being sorted Trump and Xi Agree: Short-Term Gain for Long-Term Pain

Perhaps President Trump will succeed in reducing the bilateral trade deficit with China simply by reducing bilateral trade.

March 11, 2018

Israel
At Long Last, "The Crown" Will Visit Israel

Seventy years after Israel's founding, at long last a member of the British royal family will visit there. The summer visit of the Duke of Cambridge, HRH Prince William, has been announced. This v…

February 28, 2018

China
Chinese President Xi Jinping speaks as China's new Politburo Standing Committee members meet with the press at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China October 25, 2017. China Is Likely to Enter Another Long Period of Severe Dictatorship

Term limits for the leadership are not usually found in dictatorships. The Chinese Communist Party’s proposed abolition of China’s presidential term limit means that it has forgotten one of the main …

February 22, 2018

Puerto Rico
Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Positive Growth Shock for Puerto Rico? Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Positive Growth Shock for Puerto Rico?

Puerto Rico’s latest fiscal plan appears to use a best case scenario as its base case. It consequently doesn’t provide a realistic benchmark for evaluating Puerto Rico’s long-run capacity to pay.

April 25, 2018

Cuba
Tightening the Screws on Cuba

Several weeks ago I wrote an "Expert Brief" for the Council on Foreign Relations titled "Time to Tighten the Screws on Cuba?" There I argued that the one-sided and unfortunate concessions the Obama a…

April 25, 2018

South Korea
Tourists look toward North Korea from the southern side of the demilitarized zone. High-Stakes Drama in Panmunjom

CFR assesses the prospects for the first inter-Korean summit in ten years. Kim Jong-un and South Korean president Moon Jae-in will discuss a peaceful end to North Korea’s nuclear program, setting the stage for Kim’s planned meeting with Donald J. Trump in June.

April 25, 2018

Ireland
Irish Flag and Apple Logo Tax Avoidance and the Irish Balance of Payments

At this point, profit shifting by multinational corporations doesn’t distort Ireland’s balance of payments; it constitutes Ireland’s balance of payments.

November 6, 2017

Japan
Abenomics and the Long Legacy of the Consumption Tax Hike Abenomics and the Long Legacy of the Consumption Tax Hike

Abe's consumption tax hike stalled what until then had been a demand led recovery, leading to a three year period with no growth in domestic demand. 

December 20, 2017

Economics
The Phillips Curve Is Dead. Long Live the Phillips Curve! The Phillips Curve Is Dead. Long Live the Phillips Curve!

“I am confident that the apparent disconnect between growth and inflation is a temporary phenomenon,” said ECB executive board member Yves Mersche on December 6. The “deep downturn” in the Eurozo…