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August 14, 2019

Conflict Prevention
How to Win Friends and Avoid Forever Wars

Major powers need to provide less support for proxy forces and place more emphasis on conflict resolution.

A man rides on a bike past rubble in Ein Terma, a district of eastern Ghouta, Syria.

May 2, 2019

China
China Never Stopped Managing its Trade

So long as the bulk of China's imports from the United States (and many others) are bought by state firms, China has the ability to manage its trade. The management isn't new. What's new is Trump's i…

Guests attend a ceremony marking the 1st delivery of a Boeing 737 Max 8 passenger airplane to Air China at the Boeing Zhoushan completion center in Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China, December 15, 2018.

March 25, 2019

Puerto Rico
Is There Still A Path that Returns Puerto Rico to Debt Sustainability?

The relatively generous settlement with the sales-tax backed bonds (COFINA) has reduced the funds available for everyone else.

Is There Still A Path that Returns Puerto Rico to Debt Sustainability?

November 13, 2018

Puerto Rico
Could Maria’s Legacy Be a New Debt Trap for Puerto Rico?

President Trump is right to worry that disaster aid will end up bailing out the holders of Puerto Rico's bonds, but there are better solutions to that particular problem than cutting off disaster aid…

Could Maria’s Legacy Be a New Debt Trap for Puerto Rico?

September 27, 2018

Puerto Rico
Will the Proposed Restructuring of COFINA Bonds Assure Puerto Rico’s Return to Debt Sustainability?

Puerto Rico’s government and the bulk of the holders of Puerto Rico’s Sales tax backed bonds (COFINA) appear to have reached agreement on restructuring terms (details here). The deal will reduce Puer…

Will the Proposed Restructuring of COFINA Bonds Assure Puerto Rico’s Return to Debt Sustainability?