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April 13, 2015

Politics and Government
Campaign 2016: Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, Democratic Presidential Candidate

Pakistan has had one. So have Great Britain, Indonesia, Poland, Ukraine, and four dozen other countries. Argentina, Brazil, and Germany have one right now. But the United States has never had a woman…

Hillary-Clinton

July 26, 2005

Europe
Mining European data

I spent some time over the weekend delving into the Eurozone balance of payments data published by the ECB in its monthly bulletin, looking for insights into the global flow of funds. But to jazz thi…

June 16, 2015

Elections and Voting
Campaign 2016: Governor Jeb Bush, GOP Presidential Candidate

We have had two presidents who were the fathers of presidents. We have had a president who was the grandfather of a president. We have even had presidents who were fifth cousins. But we have never ha…

Republican U.S. presidential candidate and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush formally announces his campaign for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination during a kickoff rally in Miami, Florida June 15, 2015.

September 18, 2005

United States
Synthetic CDOs, China and Systemic Risk

I suspect the stock of outstanding synthetic credit derivatives -- $ 1500 b in synthetic CDOs in 2004 v. $300 b or so in 2001, according to Mark Whitehouse of the Wall Street Journal -- is the only t…

November 28, 2007

Financial Markets
What should replace the Gulf’s peg to the dollar? More on my Peterson institute policy brief

Oil and the dollar have not consistently moved in the same direction over the past ten years.     In 1997/1998, oil tanked and the dollar soared.In 2000, oil and the dollar both rose – in large par…