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October 11, 2019

Election 2020
Election 2020 Foreign Policy Roundup: Syrian Kurds, the NBA, and LGBTQ Rights

The big foreign policy news this week was President Donald Trump’s decision to withdraw U.S. troops who have been working with Syrian Kurds, effectively greenlighting Turkey’s subsequent invasion of …

People flee Turkish air strikes in Ras al Ain along the northern Syrian border.

October 11, 2019

United States
Happy 244th Birthday to the U.S. Navy!

The U.S. Navy turns 244 years-old this weekend. On October 13, 1775, the Continental Congress commissioned two ships, each with eighty sailors, “for intercepting such transports as may be laden with …

U.S. Navy

October 10, 2019

Economics
Housing Market Points to Recession By Election Day

Looking back at the years preceding the 2008 financial crisis, a critical warning sign was the surging gap between the growth in home prices and household income—as can be seen in the main graphi…

Housing Market Points to Recession By Election Day

October 10, 2019

China
Game On: The NBA Runs Afoul of China but Scores Big

The facts are not in dispute. On October 6, Houston Rockets General Manager Daryl Morey tweeted: “Fight for Freedom: Stand with Hong Kong,” igniting a political firestorm in Beijing. Other Rockets he…

Fans in LeBron James jerseys pose for pictures with Chinese flags near security personnel outside the Mercedes-Benz Arena before the NBA exhibition game between Brooklyn Nets and Los Angeles Lakers in Shanghai, October 10, 2019.

October 9, 2019

Ukraine
The President's Inbox: Stephen Sestanovich on Ukraine

The latest episode of The President’s Inbox is live. I sat down with Steve Sestanovich, CFR’s senior fellow for Eurasian and Russian studies and the former U.S. ambassador-at-large for the former Sov…

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky speaks with President Trump at the United Nations General Assembly on September 25.

October 9, 2019

Taiwan
$130+ Billion in Undisclosed Foreign Exchange Intervention by Taiwan's Central Bank

Based on the profits and losses disclosed by Taiwan’s central bank, it appears that its true FX exposures exceed its disclosed foreign exchange reserves by USD 130bn, and perhaps by as much as USD 20…

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October 8, 2019

Iran
1970s Oil Crisis Redux or Oil Price Rout?

It has been four weeks since a major military attack on critical oil facilities in Saudi Arabia shocked the world and very little has happened to suggest such an event couldn’t happen again. That beg…

Some Motorists Ran Out of Gas Such as This Man in Portland and Had to Stand in Line with a Gas Can During the Fuel Crisis in the Pacific Northwest.

October 8, 2019

Americas
Free Trade Is Expanding, Just Not With the U.S.

Deals forged by countries accounting for more than one-third of global output leave America on the outside.

Representatives of members of Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade deal wave as they pose for an official picture after the signing agreement ceremony in Santiago, Chile March 8, 2018.

October 4, 2019

Election 2020
Election 2020 Foreign Policy Roundup: William Weld Answers Twelve Questions

Former Massachusetts Governor William Weld has become the sixteenth presidential candidate—and the first Republican challenger—to answer the Council on Foreign Relations’ candidate survey. His answer…

Former Governor William Weld answers questions in New York after a Sept. 24 debate.

October 4, 2019

Taiwan
Shadow FX Intervention in Taiwan: Solving a 100+ billion dollar enigma (Part 2)

Large-scale purchases of foreign bonds have become the central flow sustaining Taiwan’s massive current account surplus and keeping the Taiwan dollar weak. The size of this flow raises the question o…

Shadow FX Intervention in Taiwan: Solving a 100+ billion dollar enigma (Part 2)