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August 24, 2009

Monetary Policy
2009.8.10.OilImportBillBreakeven3.0 Iran

This chart plots oil prices against Iran’s estimated import bill “break-even” oil price — the price below which Iran either had, or would have had, to find sources of hard currency other than oil e…

January 4, 2018

Iran
A gas flare on an oil production platform is seen alongside an Iranian flag in the Gulf July 25, 2005. Oil and the Iran Protests

It doesn’t take much these days to remind oil traders that Middle East geopolitical risk can raise oil prices. Unrest in Iranian cities is the latest case in point. News and video records of major pr…

April 13, 2018

Iran
A photo distributed by the Houthi Military Media Unit shows the launch by Houthi forces of a ballistic missile aimed at Saudi Arabia March 25, 2018. Pompeo, the Iran Deal, and the Asymmetric Proxy War

U.S. Secretary of State nominee Mike Pompeo said yesterday at his Senate confirmation hearings that he would actively try to “fix” the Iran deal, working with U.S. allies to “achieve a better outcome…

February 5, 2018

Iran
Iran's Imperial Ambitions Challenge Middle East Borders

In May, 2017 Major General Qassem Soleimani, chief of the Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps’ foreign operations branch known as the Qods Force, visited the Iraq/Syria border in the company of an Iran-…

December 20, 2017

United States
trump iran deal The Iran Deal Saga Continues

An important legislative deadline passed last week in Washington without much mention. You might remember that back on October 13, President Donald Trump announced he would not certify that Iran was …

April 4, 2018

Iran
Reuters Why Iran Won't Rush to a Bomb if Trump Pulls Out of the Nuclear Deal

With John Bolton’s appointment as national security adviser, the odds have significantly risen that President Trump will abandon his predecessor’s nuclear deal with Iran. But there’s no need for hyst…

January 2, 2018

Iran
Getty Images The Islamic Republic of Iran Is Doomed

But things are likely to get much, much worse before they—eventually—get better.

August 17, 2017

Iran
"Reform" in Iran

During June’s presidential election in Iran, many Westerners strongly hoped for a Hassan Rouhani victory. Rouhani, the incumbent president, was a “moderate,” the argument went, and during the campaig…

May 1, 2017

Iran
Iran’s Presidential Test

Iran’s May 19 election will pit Ibrahim Raisi, a hard-line protégé of the supreme leader, against the more centrist incumbent, Hassan Rouhani, in a contest that may hinge on the perceived economic im…

December 29, 2017

Iran
The Iran Protests -- and The New York Times

In the last few days there have been anti-government protests all over Iran. The BBC reports this as of Friday night, in a story entitled “Iranian cities hit by anti-government protests.” Anti-g…